Primera A · 2026Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin

Millonarios 1–0 Rionegro Águilas Doradas · Primera A

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Millonarios won 1–0.

Shots
95
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.070.18
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Millonarios beat Águilas Doradas 1–0. Recorded in this match (Millonarios – Águilas Doradas): shots 9–5, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.07–0.18, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Águilas Doradas have a visible away split

weak

Águilas Doradas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7 shots/match12.3 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Millonarios, Águilas Doradas.

3.01 days ▲Rest daysMillonarios · Águilas Doradas4.19 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMillonariosÁguilas DoradasBaseline
Rest days3.01 days4.19 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

4.5 corners/matchCornersMillonarios · Águilas Doradas● 4.83 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricMillonariosÁguilas DoradasBaseline
Corners4.5 corners/match4.83 corners/match3.83 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots5 shotsMillonarios 9 shots, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 5 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsMillonarios 4 shots, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.07 xG0.18 xGMillonarios 1.07 xG, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 0.18 xG
  • Possession53%47%Millonarios 53%, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 47%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersMillonarios 6 corners, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsMillonarios 13 fouls, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards5 cardsMillonarios 5 cards, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 5 cards
  • Passes324 passes290 passesMillonarios 324 passes, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 290 passes
  • Pass accuracy76%76%Millonarios 76%, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 76%
  • Shots inside box5 shots2 shotsMillonarios 5 shots, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 2 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block0 blocksMillonarios 1 block, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves3 savesMillonarios 3 saves, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesMillonarios 2 offsides, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 2 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Millonarios favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Rionegro Águilas Doradas in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Millonarios6 matchesRionegro Águilas Doradas6 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.33 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.33 goals/match
11.3 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 12.3 shots/match
2.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 3.83 shots/match
44%Possession6/6● 47.8%
4.5 corners/matchCorners6/6● 4.83 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls6/612 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 12 Feb 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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