PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Metropolitano de Techo

Internacional de Bogotá 3–2 Millonarios · Primera A

3–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Internacional de Bogotá won 3–2.

Shots
1318
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
0.951.24
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Internacional de Bogota beat Millonarios 3–2. Recorded in this match (Internacional de Bogota – Millonarios): shots 13–18, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 0.95–1.24, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Millonarios.

7 days ▲Rest daysInternacional de Bogota · Millonarios7.17 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricInternacional de BogotaMillonariosBaseline
Rest days7 days7.17 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots18 shotsInternacional de Bogotá 13 shots, Millonarios 18 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsInternacional de Bogotá 5 shots, Millonarios 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.95 xG1.24 xGInternacional de Bogotá 0.95 xG, Millonarios 1.24 xG
  • Possession51%49%Internacional de Bogotá 51%, Millonarios 49%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersInternacional de Bogotá 5 corners, Millonarios 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsInternacional de Bogotá 11 fouls, Millonarios 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsInternacional de Bogotá 4 cards, Millonarios 4 cards
  • Passes352 passes350 passesInternacional de Bogotá 352 passes, Millonarios 350 passes
  • Pass accuracy87%83%Internacional de Bogotá 87%, Millonarios 83%
  • Shots inside box4 shots9 shotsInternacional de Bogotá 4 shots, Millonarios 9 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks3 blocksInternacional de Bogotá 3 blocks, Millonarios 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves2 savesInternacional de Bogotá 2 saves, Millonarios 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesInternacional de Bogotá 1 offside, Millonarios 2 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Internacional de Bogotá favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Millonarios in 3 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Internacional de Bogotá8 matchesMillonarios8 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81 goal/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.25 goals/match
0.84 xG/matchExpected goals3/4▲ 1.09 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots8/812.8 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83.38 shots/match
45.4% ●Possession8/843.8%
4.38 corners/matchCorners8/8● 4.5 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls8/812.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInternacional de BogotáMillonarios
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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