Independiente Santa Fe
Primera A · 2026Independiente Santa Fe 1–2 Atlético Nacional · Primera A
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Atlético Nacional won 1–2.
- Shots
- 12–12
- Shots on target
- 4–4
- Expected goals
- 1.28–1.6
- Possession
- 40%–60%
Full time
What the match recorded
Atletico Nacional beat Santa Fe 2–1. Recorded in this match (Santa Fe – Atletico Nacional): shots 12–12, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.28–1.6, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
weakA compressed recent schedule is recorded for Santa Fe, Atletico Nacional.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | Santa Fe | Atletico Nacional | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 3.12 days | 4.03 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 3 matches | 3 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
Atletico Nacional show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateAtletico Nacional's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Santa Fe | Atletico Nacional | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 13.7 shots/match | 17.7 shots/match | 12.2 shots/match |
| Shots against | 11.1 shots/match | 11.3 shots/match | 11.9 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
Santa Fe's recent record differs from the season
weakSanta Fe's last-five shots average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 11.2 shots/match | 13.7 shots/match | 12.2 shots/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
This match
Match statistics
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Independiente Santa Fe favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Nacional in 9 · 2 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 3 matches
Independiente Santa Fe / Atlético Nacional
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
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