PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.781.26
Expected goals
1.51.12
Shots
13.713.1
Possession
51%47.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: houston Dynamo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Houston Dynamo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Houston Dynamo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.26 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.26 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Portland Timbers favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Houston Dynamo in 6 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Portland Timbers27 matchesHouston Dynamo27 matches
1.78 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.26 goals/match
1.89 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.5 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/251.12 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots27/2713.1 shots/match
4.48 shots/matchShots on target27/274.48 shots/match
51% ●Possession27/2747.9%
4.85 corners/match ●Corners27/274.3 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards8/112.91 cards/match
9.67 fouls/matchFouls27/2710.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Portland Timbers
1Draws
3Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer3–2
Houston Dynamo — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer1–0
Portland Timbers — Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer3–1
Portland Timbers — Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer2–2
Houston Dynamo — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Nov 2026, 02:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPortland TimbersHouston Dynamo
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headPortland Timbers — Houston Dynamo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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