PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

St.Louis City vs Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.731.78
Expected goals
1.681.5
Shots
13.813.7
Possession
52.1%51%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: st. Louis City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: st. Louis City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

St. Louis City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

St. Louis City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match1.73 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

St. Louis City show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

St. Louis City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsSt. Louis City · Portland Timbers13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSt. Louis CityPortland TimbersBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against11.5 shots/match15.8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: St.Louis City favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Portland Timbers in 0 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

St.Louis City26 matchesPortland Timbers27 matches
1.73 goals/matchGoals scored26/271.78 goals/match
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/271.89 goals/match
1.68 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/241.5 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots26/2713.7 shots/match
4.85 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/274.48 shots/match
52.1% ●Possession26/2751%
5.58 corners/match ●Corners26/274.85 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards8/83 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls26/279.67 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1St.Louis City
3Draws
1Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers — St.Louis City · Major League Soccer2–2
St.Louis City — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer2–1
Portland Timbers — St.Louis City · Major League Soccer2–1
Portland Timbers — St.Louis City · Major League Soccer4–4
St.Louis City — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness39 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSt.Louis CityPortland Timbers
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headSt.Louis City — Portland Timbers
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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