PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

New England Revolution vs Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.672.37
Expected goals
1.62.03
Shots
12.515.2
Possession
50.9%56.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: inter Miami's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Inter Miami's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Inter Miami's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.37 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2.37 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: New England Revolution favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Inter Miami CF in 8 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

New England Revolution27 matchesInter Miami CF27 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 2.37 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.85 goals/match
1.6 xG/matchExpected goals25/24▲ 2.03 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 15.2 shots/match
4.81 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 6.04 shots/match
50.9%Possession27/27● 56.7%
4.7 corners/matchCorners27/27● 5.26 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/63.83 cards/match
9.89 fouls/matchFouls27/2713.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0New England Revolution
1Draws
4Inter Miami CF
Inter Miami CF — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer1–1
Inter Miami CF — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer4–1
New England Revolution — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer1–2
Inter Miami CF — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer6–2
New England Revolution — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNew England RevolutionInter Miami CF
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headNew England Revolution — Inter Miami CF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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