PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Portland Timbers vs Charlotte FC · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.811.81
Expected goals
1.51.46
Shots
13.511.2
Possession
50.8%46%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: portland Timbers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: portland Timbers's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Portland Timbers's recent record differs from the season

weak

Portland Timbers's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Portland Timbers show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Portland Timbers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsPortland Timbers · Charlotte11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPortland TimbersCharlotteBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against15.9 shots/match16.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Portland Timbers favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Charlotte FC in 5 · 6 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Portland Timbers26 matchesCharlotte FC26 matches
1.81 goals/matchGoals scored26/261.81 goals/match
1.85 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.42 goals/match
1.5 xG/matchExpected goals23/231.46 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots26/2611.2 shots/match
4.42 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 4.88 shots/match
50.8% ●Possession26/2646%
4.69 corners/match ●Corners26/264.5 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards8/92.22 cards/match
9.62 fouls/matchFouls26/269.65 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Portland Timbers
0Draws
1Charlotte FC
Charlotte FC — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer2–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPortland TimbersCharlotte FC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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