Real Salt Lake vs St.Louis City — Stats & Match Analysis

Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC

Real Salt Lake

LDLLL

vsPre-match analysis

St.Louis City

DWDWW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 1.481.73
Expected goals: 1.521.68
Shots: 14.113.8
Possession: 49.6%52.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: st. Louis City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: real Salt Lake's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

St. Louis City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

St. Louis City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.73 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	3 goals/match	1.73 goals/match	1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Salt Lake have a visible home split

moderate

Real Salt Lake's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	16.5 shots/match	14.1 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Salt Lake favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · St.Louis City in 10 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Salt Lake25 matchesSt.Louis City26 matches

1.48 goals/matchGoals scored25/26▲ 1.73 goals/match

1.68 goals/matchGoals allowed25/26▲ 1.38 goals/match

1.52 xG/matchExpected goals22/23▲ 1.68 xG/match

14.1 shots/matchShots25/2613.8 shots/match

5.32 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/264.85 shots/match

49.6%Possession25/26● 52.1%

4.92 corners/matchCorners25/26● 5.58 corners/match

2.6 cards/matchCards5/82.25 cards/match

12.4 fouls/matchFouls25/2614.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Real Salt Lake

3Draws

0St.Louis City

2 Aug 2026St.Louis City — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer1–1

19 Oct 2025St.Louis City — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer2–2

6 Jul 2025Real Salt Lake — St.Louis City · Major League Soccer3–2

31 Mar 2024Real Salt Lake — St.Louis City · Major League Soccer3–1

25 Feb 2024St.Louis City — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples25 / 26home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season

What the record shows