PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.161.23
Expected goals
0.990.94
Shots
10.510.4
Possession
44.4%48.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: sporting Kansas City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Sporting Kansas City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sporting Kansas City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.16 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.16 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sporting Kansas City favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Austin FC in 4 · 7 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sporting Kansas City25 matchesAustin FC26 matches
1.16 goals/matchGoals scored25/26▲ 1.23 goals/match
2.52 goals/matchGoals allowed25/26▲ 1.69 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals22/230.94 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots25/2610.4 shots/match
4.08 shots/matchShots on target25/263.92 shots/match
44.4%Possession25/26● 48.9%
3.92 corners/matchCorners25/26● 4.5 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards6/52.8 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls25/2610.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Sporting Kansas City
0Draws
3Austin FC
Austin FC — Sporting Kansas City · Major League Soccer1–2
Sporting Kansas City — Austin FC · Major League Soccer1–2
Austin FC — Sporting Kansas City · Major League Soccer1–0
Sporting Kansas City — Austin FC · Major League Soccer2–0
Austin FC — Sporting Kansas City · Major League Soccer3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSporting Kansas CityAustin FC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headSporting Kansas City — Austin FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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