Major League Soccer · 2026

Minnesota United vs Sporting Kansas City · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.481.19
Expected goals
1.650.99
Shots
13.510.5
Possession
46.1%44.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: sporting Kansas City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: minnesota United FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Sporting Kansas City's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sporting Kansas City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Minnesota United FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Minnesota United FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsMinnesota United FC · Sporting Kansas City10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMinnesota United FCSporting Kansas CityBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match16 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Minnesota United favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Sporting Kansas City in 0 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Minnesota United27 matchesSporting Kansas City26 matches
1.48 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/261.19 goals/match
1.81 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/262.42 goals/match
1.65 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/230.99 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots27/2610.5 shots/match
4.74 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/264.08 shots/match
46.1% ●Possession27/2644.6%
5.41 corners/match ●Corners27/263.85 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards6/72.57 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls27/2612.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Minnesota United
1Draws
1Sporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City — Minnesota United · Major League Soccer2–1
Minnesota United — Sporting Kansas City · Major League Soccer3–0
Sporting Kansas City — Minnesota United · Major League Soccer3–3
Sporting Kansas City — Minnesota United · Major League Soccer0–2
Minnesota United — Sporting Kansas City · Major League Soccer3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness32 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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