PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.381.77
Expected goals
1.351.65
Shots
12.213.6
Possession
54.8%49.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: colorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. The next-strongest reading is weaker: san Jose Earthquakes's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Colorado Rapids have a visible home split

strong

Colorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

San Jose Earthquakes's recent record differs from the season

weak

San Jose Earthquakes's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.77 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.77 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Colorado Rapids favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · San Jose Earthquakes in 6

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Colorado Rapids26 matchesSan Jose Earthquakes26 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.77 goals/match
1.35 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.46 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 1.65 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 13.6 shots/match
4.15 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 5.08 shots/match
54.8% ●Possession26/2649.2%
4.88 corners/matchCorners26/26● 6.46 corners/match
3.4 cards/matchCards10/82.88 cards/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Colorado Rapids
1Draws
2San Jose Earthquakes
Colorado Rapids — San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer0–2
San Jose Earthquakes — Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer1–2
Colorado Rapids — San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer2–3
San Jose Earthquakes — Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer0–3
Colorado Rapids — San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness21 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsColorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headColorado Rapids — San Jose Earthquakes
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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