PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders FC · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.641.09
Expected goals
1.611.34
Shots
12.213.4
Possession
50.2%50.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: seattle Sounders FC's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Seattle Sounders FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Seattle Sounders FC's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: New England Revolution favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Seattle Sounders FC in 3 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

New England Revolution25 matchesSeattle Sounders FC23 matches
1.64 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/231.09 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowed25/231.3 goals/match
1.61 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/201.34 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots25/23▲ 13.4 shots/match
4.68 shots/matchShots on target25/234.83 shots/match
50.2%Possession25/23● 50.5%
4.24 corners/matchCorners25/23● 4.96 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/42.25 cards/match
9.84 fouls/matchFouls25/2310.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0New England Revolution
0Draws
1Seattle Sounders FC
Seattle Sounders FC — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer2–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNew England RevolutionSeattle Sounders FC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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