FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution — Stats & Match Analysis

Major League Soccer · 2026Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC

FC Cincinnati

WDLLD

vsPre-match analysis

New England Revolution

DWLWW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 2.171.64
Expected goals: 1.681.61
Shots: 1412.2
Possession: 50.5%50.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: FC Cincinnati's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: FC Cincinnati's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

FC Cincinnati's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Cincinnati's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.17 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	2.17 goals/match	1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Cincinnati have a visible home split

moderate

FC Cincinnati's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	16.8 shots/match	14 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Cincinnati favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · New England Revolution in 5 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Cincinnati24 matchesNew England Revolution25 matches

2.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/251.64 goals/match

2.46 goals/matchGoals allowed24/25▲ 1.24 goals/match

1.68 xG/matchExpected goals22/231.61 xG/match

14 shots/match ▲Shots24/2512.2 shots/match

6 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/254.68 shots/match

50.5% ●Possession24/2550.2%

4.92 corners/match ●Corners24/254.24 corners/match

2.78 cards/matchCards9/52.6 cards/match

11.3 fouls/matchFouls24/259.84 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3FC Cincinnati

0Draws

2New England Revolution

15 Mar 2026New England Revolution — FC Cincinnati · Major League Soccer6–1

14 Jun 2025New England Revolution — FC Cincinnati · Major League Soccer0–1

5 Apr 2025FC Cincinnati — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer1–0

22 Jun 2024FC Cincinnati — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer1–2

17 Mar 2024New England Revolution — FC Cincinnati · Major League Soccer1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples24 / 25home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness32 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season

What the record shows