Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 23:30 UTC

DC United

WDDLL

vsPre-match analysis

Charlotte FC

WLWDW

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: charlotte FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: charlotte FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Charlotte FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Charlotte FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.81 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.4 goals/match	1.81 goals/match	1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Charlotte FC have a visible away split

moderate

Charlotte FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0DC United

0Draws

5Charlotte FC

22 Aug 2026Charlotte FC — DC United · Major League Soccer3–1

4 Oct 2025DC United — Charlotte FC · Major League Soccer0–1

16 Jul 2025Charlotte FC — DC United · Major League Soccer2–1

19 Oct 2024DC United — Charlotte FC · Major League Soccer0–3

15 Jun 2024Charlotte FC — DC United · Major League Soccer1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: DC United favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Charlotte FC in 8 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

DC United21 matchesCharlotte FC21 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.81 goals/match

1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1.52 goals/match

1.43 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 1.53 xG/match

12.4 shots/match ▲Shots21/2111.3 shots/match

4.38 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 4.95 shots/match

39.5%Possession21/21● 47.1%

5 corners/match ●Corners21/214.43 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards6/81.75 cards/match

13.9 fouls/matchFouls21/219.52 fouls/match

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

DC United1.7

Charlotte FC28.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

DC United31.7

Charlotte FC52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

DC United27.8

Charlotte FC32.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

DC United95.0

Charlotte FC28.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

DC United75.8

Charlotte FC5.0

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 64%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

DC United58.3

Charlotte FC25.0

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

DC United55.0

Charlotte FC27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

Rest before fixture · Both teams: 28 days
Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples21 / 21home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4