PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

New England Revolution 4–2 Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer

4–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

New England Revolution won 4–2.

Shots
1711
Shots on target
95
Expected goals
1.741.34
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

New England Revolution beat Orlando City SC 4–2. Recorded in this match (New England Revolution – Orlando City SC): shots 17–11, shots on target 9–5, expected goals 1.74–1.34, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

New England Revolution's recent record differs from the season

moderate

New England Revolution's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.73 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for New England Revolution, Orlando City SC.

6.08 days ▲Rest daysNew England Revolution · Orlando City SC7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNew England RevolutionOrlando City SCBaseline
Rest days6.08 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

New England Revolution show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

New England Revolution's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsNew England Revolution · Orlando City SC11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNew England RevolutionOrlando City SCBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against13 shots/match16.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots11 shotsNew England Revolution 17 shots, Orlando City SC 11 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots5 shotsNew England Revolution 9 shots, Orlando City SC 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.74 xG1.34 xGNew England Revolution 1.74 xG, Orlando City SC 1.34 xG
  • Possession51%49%New England Revolution 51%, Orlando City SC 49%
  • Corners10 corners3 cornersNew England Revolution 10 corners, Orlando City SC 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls5 foulsNew England Revolution 7 fouls, Orlando City SC 5 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards0 cardsNew England Revolution 4 cards, Orlando City SC 0 cards
  • Passes474 passes455 passesNew England Revolution 474 passes, Orlando City SC 455 passes
  • Pass accuracy89%86.4%New England Revolution 89%, Orlando City SC 86.4%
  • Shots inside box8 shots5 shotsNew England Revolution 8 shots, Orlando City SC 5 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block4 blocksNew England Revolution 1 block, Orlando City SC 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves5 savesNew England Revolution 3 saves, Orlando City SC 5 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides0 offsidesNew England Revolution 4 offsides, Orlando City SC 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 14′Brooklyn RainesYellow card · New England Revolution
  2. 19′Carles GilGoal · New England Revolution
  3. Half-time
  4. 47′William SandsYellow card · New England Revolution
  5. 59′Peyton MillerGoal · New England Revolution
  6. 62′Iván AnguloGoal · Orlando City SC
  7. 80′Ilay FeingoldYellow card · New England Revolution
  8. 88′Martín OjedaPenalty goal · Orlando City SC
  9. 90′Peyton MillerGoal · New England Revolution
  10. 90′Peyton MillerYellow card · New England Revolution
  11. 90′Carles GilGoal · New England Revolution
  12. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Orlando City SC · 2 player changesEduard Atuesta · Zakaria Taifi
  • 71′Orlando City SC · 1 player changeDaryl Dike
  • 71′New England Revolution · 1 player changeIlay Feingold
  • 77′Orlando City SC · 1 player changeHarvey Sarajian
  • 90′New England Revolution · 1 player changeDiego Fagúndez
  • 90′Orlando City SC · 1 player changeTiago Souza
  • 90′New England Revolution · 2 player changesJoshua Wynder · Wilson Harris

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

New England Revolution4-3-3
  1. Matt TurnerG
  2. Mamadou FofanaD
  3. Ilay FeingoldD
  4. Ethan KohlerD
  5. William SandsD
  6. Carles GilM
  7. Jackson YueillM
  8. Brooklyn RainesM
  9. Dániel GazdagF
  10. Peyton MillerF
  11. Dor TurgemanF
Orlando City SC4-4-2
  1. Maxime CrépeauG
  2. David BrekaloD
  3. Robin JanssonD
  4. Zakaria TaifiD
  5. Iván AnguloD
  6. Luis OtávioM
  7. Tyrese SpicerM
  8. Joran GerbetM
  9. Marco PašalićM
  10. Antoine GriezmannF
  11. Martín OjedaF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0New England Revolution
1Draws
4Orlando City SC
New England Revolution — Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer1–2
Orlando City SC — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer3–3
Orlando City SC — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer3–0
New England Revolution — Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer1–3
Orlando City SC — New England Revolution · Major League Soccer3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: New England Revolution favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Orlando City SC in 0 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

New England Revolution26 matchesOrlando City SC26 matches
1.73 goals/matchGoals scored26/261.77 goals/match
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/262.31 goals/match
1.62 xG/matchExpected goals24/221.55 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots26/2511.8 shots/match
4.85 shots/matchShots on target26/254.92 shots/match
50.2% ●Possession26/2548.6%
4.46 corners/match ●Corners26/253.96 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/42.75 cards/match
9.73 fouls/matchFouls26/2510.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNew England RevolutionOrlando City SC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headNew England Revolution — Orlando City SC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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