PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

San Jose Earthquakes 1–0 Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

San Jose Earthquakes won 1–0.

Shots
1011
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
1.210.89
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

San Jose Earthquakes beat Houston Dynamo 1–0. Recorded in this match (San Jose Earthquakes – Houston Dynamo): shots 10–11, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 1.21–0.89, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Houston Dynamo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Houston Dynamo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.28 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.28 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for San Jose Earthquakes, Houston Dynamo.

3 days ▲Rest daysSan Jose Earthquakes · Houston Dynamo3.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSan Jose EarthquakesHouston DynamoBaseline
Rest days3 days3.08 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

San Jose Earthquakes have a visible home split

moderate

San Jose Earthquakes's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots11 shotsSan Jose Earthquakes 10 shots, Houston Dynamo 11 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsSan Jose Earthquakes 1 shot, Houston Dynamo 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.21 xG0.89 xGSan Jose Earthquakes 1.21 xG, Houston Dynamo 0.89 xG
  • Possession38%62%San Jose Earthquakes 38%, Houston Dynamo 62%
  • Corners1 corner3 cornersSan Jose Earthquakes 1 corner, Houston Dynamo 3 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls14 foulsSan Jose Earthquakes 17 fouls, Houston Dynamo 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardSan Jose Earthquakes 3 cards, Houston Dynamo 1 card
  • Passes337 passes576 passesSan Jose Earthquakes 337 passes, Houston Dynamo 576 passes
  • Pass accuracy83.7%88.7%San Jose Earthquakes 83.7%, Houston Dynamo 88.7%
  • Shots inside box7 shots7 shotsSan Jose Earthquakes 7 shots, Houston Dynamo 7 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks3 blocksSan Jose Earthquakes 4 blocks, Houston Dynamo 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves0 savesSan Jose Earthquakes 6 saves, Houston Dynamo 0 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideSan Jose Earthquakes 3 offsides, Houston Dynamo 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 1′Eduard LöwenYellow card · San Jose Earthquakes
  2. 19′Beau LerouxYellow card · San Jose Earthquakes
  3. 38′Daniel MunieGoal · San Jose Earthquakes
  4. Half-time
  5. 75′Agustin ReschYellow card · Houston Dynamo
  6. 90′Benjamin KikanovićYellow card · San Jose Earthquakes
  7. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 65′Houston Dynamo · 1 player changeHéctor Herrera
  • 69′San Jose Earthquakes · 2 player changesIan Harkes · Nick Fernandez
  • 78′Houston Dynamo · 2 player changesNick Markanich · Matthew Arana
  • 82′San Jose Earthquakes · 1 player changeJack Skahan
  • 83′San Jose Earthquakes · 1 player changeLuka Jovanovic
  • 88′Houston Dynamo · 1 player changeFranco Negri

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

San Jose Earthquakes3-5-2
  1. Angus GunnG
  2. Dave RomneyD
  3. Daniel MunieD
  4. Ian HarkesD
  5. Niko TsakirisD
  6. Reid RobertsD
  7. Jack JasinskiM
  8. Beau LerouxM
  9. Vitor CostaM
  10. Luka JovanovicF
  11. Preston JuddF
Houston Dynamo5-3-2
  1. Jonathan BondG
  2. Antônio CarlosD
  3. Lucas HalterD
  4. ArturD
  5. Lawrence EnnaliD
  6. Franco NegriD
  7. Héctor HerreraM
  8. Mateusz BoguszM
  9. Agustín BouzatM
  10. GuilhermeF
  11. Ibrahim AliyuF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1San Jose Earthquakes
2Draws
2Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo — San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer0–0
Houston Dynamo — San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer1–2
San Jose Earthquakes — Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer3–3
San Jose Earthquakes — Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer0–1
Houston Dynamo — San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: San Jose Earthquakes favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Houston Dynamo in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

San Jose Earthquakes25 matchesHouston Dynamo25 matches
1.76 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.28 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.12 goals/match
1.67 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/231.1 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots25/2513.1 shots/match
4.92 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/254.6 shots/match
48.4% ●Possession25/2547.9%
6.12 corners/match ●Corners25/254.2 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards7/103 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls25/2510.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 06:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSan Jose EarthquakesHouston Dynamo
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headSan Jose Earthquakes — Houston Dynamo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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