PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

San Diego FC 2–3 San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer

2–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

San Jose Earthquakes won 2–3.

Shots
1011
Shots on target
66
Expected goals
1.772.06
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

San Jose Earthquakes beat San Diego FC 3–2. Recorded in this match (San Diego FC – San Jose Earthquakes): shots 10–11, shots on target 6–6, expected goals 1.77–2.06, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

San Jose Earthquakes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

San Jose Earthquakes's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.79 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.79 goals/match1.59 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

San Jose Earthquakes have a visible away split

moderate

San Jose Earthquakes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

San Diego FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.1% ●PossessionSan Diego FC · San Jose Earthquakes48.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSan Diego FCSan Jose EarthquakesBaseline
Possession60.1%48.9%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots11 shotsSan Diego FC 10 shots, San Jose Earthquakes 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots6 shotsSan Diego FC 6 shots, San Jose Earthquakes 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.77 xG2.06 xGSan Diego FC 1.77 xG, San Jose Earthquakes 2.06 xG
  • Possession53%47%San Diego FC 53%, San Jose Earthquakes 47%
  • Corners1 corner3 cornersSan Diego FC 1 corner, San Jose Earthquakes 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls17 foulsSan Diego FC 12 fouls, San Jose Earthquakes 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards6 cardsSan Diego FC 4 cards, San Jose Earthquakes 6 cards
  • Passes546 passes485 passesSan Diego FC 546 passes, San Jose Earthquakes 485 passes
  • Pass accuracy88.1%87.2%San Diego FC 88.1%, San Jose Earthquakes 87.2%
  • Shots inside box8 shots6 shotsSan Diego FC 8 shots, San Jose Earthquakes 6 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block3 blocksSan Diego FC 1 block, San Jose Earthquakes 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves4 savesSan Diego FC 3 saves, San Jose Earthquakes 4 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideSan Diego FC 3 offsides, San Jose Earthquakes 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 3′Niko TsakirisGoal · San Jose Earthquakes
  2. 7′CJ Dos SantosYellow card · San Diego FC
  3. 8′Niko TsakirisPenalty missed · San Jose Earthquakes
  4. 12′Preston JuddGoal · San Jose Earthquakes
  5. 13′Preston JuddYellow card · San Jose Earthquakes
  6. 18′Christopher McVeyYellow card · San Diego FC
  7. 35′Ousseni BoudaGoal · San Jose Earthquakes
  8. 37′Ousseni BoudaYellow card · San Jose Earthquakes
  9. 42′Anders DreyerGoal · San Diego FC
  10. 45′Beau LerouxYellow card · San Jose Earthquakes
  11. Half-time
  12. 52′Jeppe TverskovYellow card · San Diego FC
  13. 75′Max FlorianiYellow card · San Jose Earthquakes
  14. 80′CJ Dos SantosSecond yellow · San Diego FC
  15. 90′Max FlorianiSecond yellow · San Jose Earthquakes
  16. 90′Cédric BakambuPenalty goal · San Diego FC
  17. 90′Ronaldo VieiraYellow card · San Jose Earthquakes
  18. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 30′San Jose Earthquakes · 1 player changeOusseni Bouda
  • 45′San Diego FC · 1 player changeAmahl Pellegrino
  • 46′San Diego FC · 2 player changesKieran Sargeant · Alejandro Alvarado Jr
  • 46′San Jose Earthquakes · 2 player changesEduard Löwen · Max Floriani
  • 67′San Jose Earthquakes · 2 player changesBenjamin Kikanović · Ronaldo Vieira
  • 68′San Diego FC · 1 player changeCédric Bakambu
  • 82′San Diego FC · 1 player changeDuran Ferree

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

San Diego FC4-3-3
  1. CJ Dos SantosG
  2. Kieran SargeantD
  3. Manu DuahD
  4. Ian MurphyD
  5. Oscar VerhoevenD
  6. Gabriel PiraniM
  7. Aníbal GodoyM
  8. Alejandro Alvarado JrM
  9. Onni ValakariF
  10. Anders DreyerF
  11. Elias AchouriF
San Jose Earthquakes3-4-2-1
  1. Angus GunnG
  2. Jamar RickettsD
  3. Paul MarieD
  4. Daniel MunieD
  5. Reid RobertsD
  6. Max FlorianiD
  7. Ronaldo VieiraM
  8. Beau LerouxM
  9. Ousseni BoudaF
  10. Niko TsakirisF
  11. Eduard LöwenF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1San Diego FC
0Draws
2San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes — San Diego FC · Major League Soccer3–0
San Diego FC — San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer0–1
San Jose Earthquakes — San Diego FC · Major League Soccer1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: San Diego FC favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · San Jose Earthquakes in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

San Diego FC24 matchesSan Jose Earthquakes24 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored24/241.79 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed24/241.5 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.7 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 13.5 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲ 5.08 shots/match
60.1% ●Possession24/2448.9%
4.75 corners/matchCorners24/24● 6.33 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCards12/73 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls24/2412.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 10 Sept 2026, 06:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSan Diego FCSan Jose Earthquakes
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headSan Diego FC — San Jose Earthquakes
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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