PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Austin FC 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Austin FC and San Jose Earthquakes drew 1–1.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.150.55
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Austin FC and San Jose Earthquakes drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Austin FC – San Jose Earthquakes): shots 16–10, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.15–0.55, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

San Jose Earthquakes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

San Jose Earthquakes's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.74 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.74 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

San Jose Earthquakes have a visible away split

moderate

San Jose Earthquakes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

San Jose Earthquakes show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

San Jose Earthquakes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAustin FC · San Jose Earthquakes13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAustin FCSan Jose EarthquakesBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against16.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsAustin FC 16 shots, San Jose Earthquakes 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsAustin FC 3 shots, San Jose Earthquakes 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.15 xG0.55 xGAustin FC 1.15 xG, San Jose Earthquakes 0.55 xG
  • Possession53%47%Austin FC 53%, San Jose Earthquakes 47%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersAustin FC 7 corners, San Jose Earthquakes 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsAustin FC 10 fouls, San Jose Earthquakes 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardAustin FC 1 card, San Jose Earthquakes 1 card
  • Passes459 passes419 passesAustin FC 459 passes, San Jose Earthquakes 419 passes
  • Pass accuracy88.5%84.3%Austin FC 88.5%, San Jose Earthquakes 84.3%
  • Shots inside box14 shots10 shotsAustin FC 14 shots, San Jose Earthquakes 10 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks7 blocksAustin FC 6 blocks, San Jose Earthquakes 7 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save2 savesAustin FC 1 save, San Jose Earthquakes 2 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides0 offsidesAustin FC 3 offsides, San Jose Earthquakes 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 8′Beau LerouxGoal · San Jose Earthquakes
  2. Half-time
  3. 65′Reid RobertsYellow card · San Jose Earthquakes
  4. 87′Brad StuverYellow card · Austin FC
  5. 90′Guilherme BiroGoal · Austin FC
  6. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 61′Austin FC · 2 player changesŽan Kolmanič · Jonathan Bell
  • 69′San Jose Earthquakes · 1 player changePreston Judd
  • 70′Austin FC · 1 player changeChristian Ramirez
  • 71′Austin FC · 1 player changePrzemysław Płacheta
  • 75′Austin FC · 1 player changeBrendan Hines-Ike
  • 81′San Jose Earthquakes · 3 player changesJack Jasinski · Ian Harkes · Vitor Costa
  • 88′San Jose Earthquakes · 1 player changeNick Fernandez

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Austin FC3-4-3
  1. Brad StuverG
  2. Mikkel DeslerD
  3. Jonathan BellD
  4. Jon GallagherD
  5. Guilherme BiroD
  6. Joseph RosalesD
  7. Besard SabovićM
  8. Ervin TorresM
  9. Brandon VázquezF
  10. Facundo TorresF
  11. Jorge AlastueyF
San Jose Earthquakes3-4-2-1
  1. Angus GunnG
  2. Jamar RickettsD
  3. Paul MarieD
  4. Dave RomneyD
  5. Daniel MunieD
  6. Reid RobertsD
  7. Ronaldo VieiraM
  8. Beau LerouxM
  9. Ousseni BoudaF
  10. Niko TsakirisF
  11. Eduard LöwenF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Austin FC
1Draws
2San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes — Austin FC · Major League Soccer5–1
San Jose Earthquakes — Austin FC · Major League Soccer2–1
Austin FC — San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer3–1
San Jose Earthquakes — Austin FC · Major League Soccer1–1
Austin FC — San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer4–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Austin FC favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · San Jose Earthquakes in 12 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Austin FC23 matchesSan Jose Earthquakes23 matches
1.26 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.74 goals/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1.48 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.68 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 13.6 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 5.04 shots/match
48.9%Possession23/23● 49%
4.48 corners/matchCorners23/23● 6.48 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/62.33 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls23/2312.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAustin FCSan Jose Earthquakes
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headAustin FC — San Jose Earthquakes
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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