Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 00:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Austin FC

DLLLW

vsPre-match analysis

San Jose Earthquakes

DLLWL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: San Jose Earthquakes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: San Jose Earthquakes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

San Jose Earthquakes have a visible away split

moderate

San Jose Earthquakes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

San Jose Earthquakes show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

San Jose Earthquakes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.2 shots/match▲ShotsAustin FC · San Jose Earthquakes13.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Austin FC	San Jose Earthquakes	Baseline
Shots	10.2 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	17.6 shots/match	12.4 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

San Jose Earthquakes's recent record differs from the season

weak

San Jose Earthquakes's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.13 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	2.13 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Austin FC

0Draws

1San Jose Earthquakes

23 Apr 2026San Jose Earthquakes — Austin · Major League Soccer5–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Austin FC favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · San Jose Earthquakes in 11 · 2 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/16▲2.13 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/16▲1.19 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/13▲1.76 xG/match

2.14 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.4 xG/match

10.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/16▲13.8 shots/match

17.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/16▲12.4 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/16▲5.69 shots/match

6.88 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/16▲4.38 shots/match

47.4%●Possessionseason · 16/1646.8%

4.31 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/16●7.13 corners/match

6.31 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/16▲4.75 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/41.75 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1612.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲31%

81%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/16▲88%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Austin FC35

San Jose Earthquakes25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Austin FC15.5

San Jose Earthquakes83.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Austin FC8.9

San Jose Earthquakes66.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Austin FC21.7

San Jose Earthquakes78.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Austin FC25

San Jose Earthquakes31.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 59%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Austin FC16.7

San Jose Earthquakes98.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Austin FC13.8

San Jose Earthquakes77.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Austin FC16 matchesSan Jose Earthquakes16 matches

1.38 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲2.13 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲1.19 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲1.76 xG/match

10.2 shots/matchShots16/16▲13.8 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲5.69 shots/match

47.4%●Possession16/1646.8%

4.31 corners/matchCorners16/16●7.13 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/41.75 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Austin FC8 matchesSan Jose Earthquakes8 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲2.25 goals/match

0.88 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/81.13 goals/match

0.98 xG/matchExpected goals6/7▲1.19 xG/match

11.9 shots/match▲Shots8/89 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83.75 shots/match

54.1%●Possession8/844%

5.38 corners/match●Corners8/84.75 corners/match

—Cards2/1—

10.9 fouls/matchFouls8/811 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

45 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/144.9 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness45 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4