Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 00:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Seattle Sounders FC

WLLLL

vsPre-match analysis

New York Red Bulls

WWDWL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: New York Red Bulls's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Seattle Sounders FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

New York Red Bulls's recent record differs from the season

weak

New York Red Bulls's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.63 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Seattle Sounders FC have a visible home split

moderate

Seattle Sounders FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	16 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.33 corners/matchCornersSeattle Sounders FC · New York Red Bulls●6.06 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Seattle Sounders FC	New York Red Bulls	Baseline
Corners	5.33 corners/match	6.06 corners/match	4.78 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Seattle Sounders FC favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · New York Red Bulls in 2 · 6 too close

1.27 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/16▲1.63 goals/match

1.27 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 15/162.19 goals/match

1.48 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/131.5 xG/match

1.33 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 12/132.1 xG/match

13.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/1613.3 shots/match

13.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/1613.6 shots/match

5.33 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/165 shots/match

4.53 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 15/165.88 shots/match

52.7%Possessionseason · 15/16●52.9%

5.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/16●6.06 corners/match

6.27 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/16▲4.81 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/51.8 cards/match

9.07 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1612.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/166%

80%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1681%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Seattle Sounders FC70

New York Red Bulls75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Seattle Sounders FC53.9

New York Red Bulls59.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Seattle Sounders FC55

New York Red Bulls16.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Seattle Sounders FC48.3

New York Red Bulls41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Seattle Sounders FC13.3

New York Red Bulls35.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 60%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Seattle Sounders FC70

New York Red Bulls95

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Seattle Sounders FC55.4

New York Red Bulls69.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Seattle Sounders FC15 matchesNew York Red Bulls16 matches

1.27 goals/matchGoals scored15/16▲1.63 goals/match

1.27 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/162.19 goals/match

1.48 xG/matchExpected goals12/131.5 xG/match

13.5 shots/matchShots15/1613.3 shots/match

5.33 shots/match▲Shots on target15/165 shots/match

52.7%Possession15/16●52.9%

5.33 corners/matchCorners15/16●6.06 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/51.8 cards/match

9.07 fouls/matchFouls15/1612.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Seattle Sounders FC7 matchesNew York Red Bulls9 matches

1.86 goals/match▲Goals scored7/91.44 goals/match

1.71 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/92.33 goals/match

1.87 xG/match▲Expected goals6/81.32 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shots7/913.7 shots/match

6.43 shots/match▲Shots on target7/95.56 shots/match

52.4%Possession7/9●53%

5.86 corners/matchCorners7/9●6.11 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

7.86 fouls/matchFouls7/912.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

45 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/145 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples15 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness45 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4