PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Portland Timbers 1–2 Austin FC · Major League Soccer

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Austin FC won 1–2.

Shots
1310
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.731.24
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Austin FC beat Portland Timbers 2–1. Recorded in this match (Portland Timbers – Austin FC): shots 13–10, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.73–1.24, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Portland Timbers show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Portland Timbers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsPortland Timbers · Austin FC10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPortland TimbersAustin FCBaseline
Shots13 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against16.7 shots/match16.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Portland Timbers, Austin FC.

7 days ▲Rest daysPortland Timbers · Austin FC7.06 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPortland TimbersAustin FCBaseline
Rest days7 days7.06 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots10 shotsPortland Timbers 13 shots, Austin FC 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsPortland Timbers 5 shots, Austin FC 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.73 xG1.24 xGPortland Timbers 1.73 xG, Austin FC 1.24 xG
  • Possession50%50%Portland Timbers 50%, Austin FC 50%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersPortland Timbers 6 corners, Austin FC 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsPortland Timbers 9 fouls, Austin FC 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsPortland Timbers 1 card, Austin FC 4 cards
  • Passes497 passes509 passesPortland Timbers 497 passes, Austin FC 509 passes
  • Pass accuracy85.7%83.5%Portland Timbers 85.7%, Austin FC 83.5%
  • Shots inside box7 shots5 shotsPortland Timbers 7 shots, Austin FC 5 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks4 blocksPortland Timbers 4 blocks, Austin FC 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save4 savesPortland Timbers 1 save, Austin FC 4 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsidePortland Timbers 3 offsides, Austin FC 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 25′Facundo TorresGoal · Austin FC
  2. 35′Guilherme BiroYellow card · Austin FC
  3. Half-time
  4. 47′Mikkel DeslerYellow card · Austin FC
  5. 88′José CaicedoYellow card · Portland Timbers
  6. 88′Oleksandr SvatokYellow card · Austin FC
  7. 89′Antony AlvesPenalty goal · Portland Timbers
  8. 90′Oleksandr SvatokGoal · Austin FC
  9. 90′Joseph RosalesYellow card · Austin FC
  10. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 63′Portland Timbers · 1 player changeAntony Alves
  • 63′Austin FC · 2 player changesŽan Kolmanič · Przemysław Płacheta
  • 73′Austin FC · 1 player changeBrendan Hines-Ike
  • 75′Portland Timbers · 2 player changesIan Smith · Joao Ortíz
  • 83′Austin FC · 2 player changesOleksandr Svatok · Ilie Sánchez
  • 83′Portland Timbers · 1 player changeOmir Fernandez

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Portland Timbers
1Draws
1Austin FC
Austin FC — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer0–0
Portland Timbers — Austin FC · Major League Soccer1–0
Portland Timbers — Austin FC · Major League Soccer0–1
Austin FC — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer0–2
Austin FC — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Portland Timbers favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Austin FC in 1 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Portland Timbers22 matchesAustin FC22 matches
1.77 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.27 goals/match
1.77 goals/matchGoals allowed22/221.86 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/190.98 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots22/2210.5 shots/match
4.55 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/224.18 shots/match
50.3% ●Possession22/2248.7%
4.5 corners/match ●Corners22/224.36 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards8/42 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls22/2211 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 06:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPortland TimbersAustin FC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headPortland Timbers — Austin FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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