PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026

Colorado Rapids 1–0 Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Colorado Rapids won 1–0.

Shots
144
Shots on target
40
Expected goals
1.220.08
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Colorado Rapids beat Real Salt Lake 1–0. Recorded in this match (Colorado Rapids – Real Salt Lake): shots 14–4, shots on target 4–0, expected goals 1.22–0.08, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Colorado Rapids's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Colorado Rapids's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Colorado Rapids have a visible home split

strong

Colorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Colorado Rapids, Real Salt Lake.

6.96 days ▲Rest daysColorado Rapids · Real Salt Lake7.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricColorado RapidsReal Salt LakeBaseline
Rest days6.96 days7.08 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots4 shotsColorado Rapids 14 shots, Real Salt Lake 4 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots0 shotsColorado Rapids 4 shots, Real Salt Lake 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.22 xG0.08 xGColorado Rapids 1.22 xG, Real Salt Lake 0.08 xG
  • Possession64%36%Colorado Rapids 64%, Real Salt Lake 36%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerColorado Rapids 7 corners, Real Salt Lake 1 corner
  • Fouls13 fouls21 foulsColorado Rapids 13 fouls, Real Salt Lake 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards5 cardsColorado Rapids 3 cards, Real Salt Lake 5 cards
  • Passes587 passes332 passesColorado Rapids 587 passes, Real Salt Lake 332 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.2%73.2%Colorado Rapids 86.2%, Real Salt Lake 73.2%
  • Shots inside box10 shots1 shotColorado Rapids 10 shots, Real Salt Lake 1 shot
  • Blocked shots5 blocks2 blocksColorado Rapids 5 blocks, Real Salt Lake 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves3 savesColorado Rapids 0 saves, Real Salt Lake 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesColorado Rapids 1 offside, Real Salt Lake 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 14′Hamzat OjediranYellow card · Colorado Rapids
  2. Half-time
  3. 49′Rob HoldingYellow card · Colorado Rapids
  4. 53′Aiden HezarkhaniYellow card · Real Salt Lake
  5. 58′Reggie CannonGoal · Colorado Rapids
  6. 61′Morgan GuilavoguiYellow card · Real Salt Lake
  7. 67′Noel CaliskanYellow card · Real Salt Lake
  8. 79′Colin GuskeYellow card · Real Salt Lake
  9. 89′Juan Jose AriasYellow card · Real Salt Lake
  10. 90′Miguel NavarroYellow card · Colorado Rapids
  11. Full time
Player changes · 7grouped by team and minute
  • 64′Real Salt Lake · 2 player changesDiego Luna · Juan Sanabria
  • 71′Colorado Rapids · 1 player changeDonavan Phillip
  • 72′Real Salt Lake · 1 player changeColin Guske
  • 78′Colorado Rapids · 1 player changeJosh Atencio
  • 81′Real Salt Lake · 1 player changeSaba Lobzhanidze
  • 90′Colorado Rapids · 1 player changeDarren Yapi

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Colorado Rapids
0Draws
3Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake — Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer2–1
Real Salt Lake — Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer1–0
Colorado Rapids — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer1–0
Colorado Rapids — Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer3–2
Real Salt Lake — Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer5–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Colorado Rapids favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Real Salt Lake in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Colorado Rapids22 matchesReal Salt Lake21 matches
1.41 goals/matchGoals scored22/21▲ 1.62 goals/match
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/211.57 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals19/18▲ 1.51 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots22/21▲ 14 shots/match
3.95 shots/matchShots on target22/21▲ 5.29 shots/match
55.6% ●Possession22/2149.1%
5.05 corners/match ●Corners22/214.67 corners/match
3.4 cards/matchCards10/52.6 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls22/2112.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples22 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsColorado RapidsReal Salt Lake
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headColorado Rapids — Real Salt Lake
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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