Major League Soccer · 2026

Orlando City SC 1–2 Chicago Fire · Major League Soccer

1–2Pre-match analysis

Match at a glance

Chicago Fire won 1–2.

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: chicago Fire's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: orlando City SC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Orlando City SC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Orlando City SC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.65 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.65 goals/match1.61 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Chicago Fire show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Chicago Fire's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsOrlando City SC · Chicago Fire14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOrlando City SCChicago FireBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match14.8 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against18.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Orlando City SC.

4 days ▲Rest daysOrlando City SC · Chicago Fire28 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricOrlando City SCChicago FireBaseline
Rest days4 days28 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match0 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Orlando City SC
2Draws
2Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire — Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer3–1
Orlando City SC — Chicago Fire · Major League Soccer1–3
Chicago Fire — Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer0–0
Orlando City SC — Chicago Fire · Major League Soccer4–2
Chicago Fire — Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Orlando City SC favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Chicago Fire in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Orlando City SC17 matchesChicago Fire15 matches
1.65 goals/matchGoals scored17/15▲ 1.93 goals/match
2.65 goals/matchGoals allowed17/15▲ 1.27 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals14/12▲ 2.01 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots17/15▲ 14.8 shots/match
4.65 shots/matchShots on target17/15▲ 5.13 shots/match
45.5%Possession17/15● 52.7%
4.06 corners/matchCorners17/15● 4.53 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards3/42.25 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls17/1513 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 19 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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