Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 24 May 2026, 02:30 UTCFull time

Los Angeles Galaxy

1–1Full-time recap

Houston Dynamo

This page now describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Houston Dynamo. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples15 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Key factors

The clearest supported patterns

Strength combines sample and difference. It is not a probability.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Houston Dynamo.

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Home	Away	Baseline
Rest days	7.05 days	7.08 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Los Angeles Galaxy58.3

Houston Dynamo5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Los Angeles Galaxy61.7

Houston Dynamo44.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Los Angeles Galaxy63.9

Houston Dynamo48.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Los Angeles Galaxy51.7

Houston Dynamo85

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Los Angeles Galaxy32.5

Houston Dynamo50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Los Angeles Galaxy60

Houston Dynamo28.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Los Angeles Galaxy53.8

Houston Dynamo39.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

Metric	Los Angeles Galaxy	Houston Dynamo
Goals scored	1.4 goals/match5 obs.	1.4 goals/match5 obs.
Goals allowed	1.2 goals/match5 obs.	1 goals/match5 obs.
Expected goals	1.72 xG/match5 obs.	0.77 xG/match5 obs.
Shots	12.2 shots/match5 obs.	11.6 shots/match5 obs.
Shots on target	4.6 shots/match5 obs.	5.4 shots/match5 obs.
Possession	48.4%5 obs.	43.8%5 obs.
Corners	4.6 corners/match5 obs.	3.2 corners/match5 obs.
Cards	—0 obs.	—1 obs.
Fouls	8.2 fouls/match5 obs.	11.6 fouls/match5 obs.

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

Metric	Los Angeles Galaxy	Houston Dynamo
Goals scored	1.5 goals/match10 obs.	1.1 goals/match10 obs.
Goals allowed	1.4 goals/match10 obs.	1.4 goals/match10 obs.
Expected goals	1.55 xG/match10 obs.	1 xG/match10 obs.
Shots	12.5 shots/match10 obs.	13.1 shots/match10 obs.
Shots on target	4.9 shots/match10 obs.	5.1 shots/match10 obs.
Possession	47.5%10 obs.	43.6%10 obs.
Corners	4.9 corners/match10 obs.	3.8 corners/match10 obs.
Cards	—0 obs.	—2 obs.
Fouls	9.3 fouls/match10 obs.	10.4 fouls/match10 obs.

Window

Season

15 / 14 matches

Metric	Los Angeles Galaxy	Houston Dynamo
Goals scored	1.47 goals/match15 obs.	1.36 goals/match14 obs.
Goals allowed	1.47 goals/match15 obs.	1.64 goals/match14 obs.
Expected goals	1.62 xG/match12 obs.	1.08 xG/match12 obs.
Shots	13.5 shots/match15 obs.	13 shots/match14 obs.
Shots on target	5.73 shots/match15 obs.	4.86 shots/match14 obs.
Possession	49.9%15 obs.	43%14 obs.
Corners	5.2 corners/match15 obs.	4.5 corners/match14 obs.
Cards	2.75 cards/match4 obs.	3 cards/match6 obs.
Fouls	9.53 fouls/match15 obs.	10.5 fouls/match14 obs.

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches

Metric	Los Angeles Galaxy	Houston Dynamo
Goals scored	1.43 goals/match7 obs.	1.57 goals/match7 obs.
Goals allowed	1.14 goals/match7 obs.	2.43 goals/match7 obs.
Expected goals	2.07 xG/match5 obs.	1.26 xG/match7 obs.
Shots	14.4 shots/match7 obs.	13.7 shots/match7 obs.
Shots on target	6.43 shots/match7 obs.	5.29 shots/match7 obs.
Possession	50.1%7 obs.	44.9%7 obs.
Corners	5.71 corners/match7 obs.	3.71 corners/match7 obs.
Cards	—2 obs.	—1 obs.
Fouls	10.9 fouls/match7 obs.	11 fouls/match7 obs.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Metric	Home	Away	Competition	Samples
Goals scoredseason	1.47 goals/match35th	1.36 goals/match23th	1.57 goals/match	15 / 14
Goals allowedseason	1.47 goals/match38th	1.64 goals/match57th	1.61 goals/match	15 / 14
Expected goalsseason	1.62 xG/match75th	1.08 xG/match12th	1.45 xG/match	12 / 12
Expected goals allowedseason	1.28 xG/match38th	1.28 xG/match35th	1.36 xG/match	12 / 12
Shotsseason	13.5 shots/match62th	13 shots/match52th	13 shots/match	15 / 14
Shots allowedseason	11.7 shots/match28th	12.6 shots/match65th	12.2 shots/match	15 / 14
Shots on targetseason	5.73 shots/match88th	4.86 shots/match58th	4.66 shots/match	15 / 14
Shots on target allowedseason	4.4 shots/match42th	4.29 shots/match32th	4.53 shots/match	15 / 14
Possessionseason	49.9%58th	43%5th	49.4%	15 / 14
Cornersseason	5.2 corners/match60th	4.5 corners/match28th	4.73 corners/match	15 / 14
Corners allowedseason	3.13 corners/match5th	4.93 corners/match45th	4.93 corners/match	15 / 14
Cardsseason	2.75 cards/match60th	3 cards/match82th	2.45 cards/match	4 / 6
Foulsseason	9.53 fouls/match5th	10.5 fouls/match18th	12.1 fouls/match	15 / 14
Clean-sheet frequencyseason	13%25th	29%78th	20%	15 / 14
Scoring frequencyseason	100%98th	71%23th	79%	15 / 14

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

Metric	Home	Away	Competition	Samples
Rest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures	7.05 days—	7.08 days—	—	1 / 1
Matches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures	2 matches—	3 matches—	—	1 / 1

What could change this?

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.