PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 23:00 UTCFull timeScottsMiracle-Gro FieldFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricColumbus CrewOrlando City SC
Shots20 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Expected goals1.18 xG/match▲0.61 xG/match
Possession65%35%
Corners8 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Orlando City SC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Orlando City SC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Orlando City SC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Orlando City SC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Orlando City SC have a visible away split

weak

Orlando City SC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.5 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Orlando City SC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Orlando City SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match▲ShotsColumbus Crew · Orlando City SC10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricColumbus CrewOrlando City SCBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against8.43 shots/match17.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Columbus Crew favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Orlando City SC in 0 · 5 too close

1.29 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 7/70.86 goals/match
1.43 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 7/73.43 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.06 xG/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.9 xG/match
12.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 7/710.3 shots/match
8.43 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 7/717.3 shots/match
4.86 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 7/73.71 shots/match
4.14 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 7/77.57 shots/match
54.6%Possessionseason · 7/740.9%
6.86 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/73.57 corners/match
4.43 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 7/77.57 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/33 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/79.86 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
14%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/70%
71%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 7/757%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Columbus Crew76.7
Orlando City SC1.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Columbus Crew48.9
Orlando City SC12.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Columbus Crew74.4
Orlando City SC2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Columbus Crew35
Orlando City SC55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Columbus Crew16.6
Orlando City SC45.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 71%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Columbus Crew91.7
Orlando City SC8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Columbus Crew56.7
Orlando City SC10
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/53.6 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.06 xG/match
13 shots/match▲Shots5/59 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
54%Possession5/539.8%
7.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match
—Cards1/1—
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 7 matches
1.29 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.86 goals/match
1.43 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/73.43 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.06 xG/match
12.9 shots/match▲Shots7/710.3 shots/match
4.86 shots/match▲Shots on target7/73.71 shots/match
54.6%Possession7/740.9%
6.86 corners/matchCorners7/73.57 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/33 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls7/79.86 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 7 matches
1.29 goals/match▲Goals scored7/70.86 goals/match
1.43 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/73.43 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲1.06 xG/match
12.9 shots/match▲Shots7/710.3 shots/match
4.86 shots/match▲Shots on target7/73.71 shots/match
54.6%Possession7/740.9%
6.86 corners/matchCorners7/73.57 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/33 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls7/79.86 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 4 matches
0.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/40.25 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/44.25 goals/match
—Expected goals2/30.63 xG/match
13.7 shots/match▲Shots3/47.5 shots/match
4.67 shots/match▲Shots on target3/42.25 shots/match
57.3%Possession3/441%
7 corners/matchCorners3/43.75 corners/match
—Cards1/1—
9 fouls/matchFouls3/48.75 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.98 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 13 Apr 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsColumbus CrewOrlando City SC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match