San Diego
Major League Soccer · 2026This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
This match
Match statistics
| Metric | San Diego | Minnesota United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 17 shots/match | 21 shots/match▲ |
| Shots on target | 6 shots/match | 7 shots/match▲ |
| Expected goals | 1.62 xG/match | 1.95 xG/match▲ |
| Possession | 64% | 36% |
| Corners | 4 corners/match | 5 corners/match |
| Fouls | 9 fouls/match | 19 fouls/match |
| Yellow cards | 3 cards/match | 1 cards/match▲ |
30-second read
What the record shows
The clearest recorded pattern is: San Diego's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: San Diego have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
San Diego's recent record differs from the season
moderateSan Diego's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.4 goals/match | 2 goals/match | 1.5 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateSan Diego have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.7 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | San Diego | Minnesota United FC | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 64% | 41.3% | 50.2% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
San Diego have a visible home split
weakSan Diego's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: home
| Metric | Home only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 12.5 shots/match | 10.6 shots/match | 12.1 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Metric comparison
Values, percentiles and samples
San Diego favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Minnesota United FC in 1 · 6 too close
Style profile
How the teams compare
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Recent form
Season, last 10 and last 5
Window
Last 5
Window
Last 10
Window
Season
Venue split
Home and away samples
Window
Home team at home / away team away
Schedule context
Rest and recent workload
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
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