Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 01:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
62Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricColorado RapidsHouston Dynamo
Shots16 shots/match20 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match8 shots/match
Expected goals2.73 xG/match2.21 xG/match
Possession51%49%
Corners2 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Colorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Colorado Rapids's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Colorado Rapids have a visible home split

weak

Colorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Colorado Rapids's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Colorado Rapids's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season2.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.4 goals/match2.71 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Houston Dynamo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Houston Dynamo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/matchShotsColorado Rapids · Houston Dynamo14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricColorado RapidsHouston DynamoBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match14 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Colorado Rapids favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Houston Dynamo in 3 · 6 too close

2.71 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 7/61.67 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 7/62.67 goals/match
2.12 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.5 xG/match
1.61 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.81 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 7/614 shots/match
14.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 7/613.2 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 7/64.67 shots/match
5.57 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 7/65.67 shots/match
52.9%Possessionseason · 7/643.3%
4.57 corners/matchCornersseason · 7/66.33 corners/match
5.71 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 7/65 corners/match
3.25 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/43.5 cards/match
15.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 7/69.67 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 7/60%
86%Scoring frequencyseason · 7/667%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Colorado Rapids71.7
Houston Dynamo11.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Colorado Rapids80.6
Houston Dynamo58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Colorado Rapids30
Houston Dynamo27.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Colorado Rapids45
Houston Dynamo95
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Colorado Rapids93.3
Houston Dynamo48.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 79%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Colorado Rapids40
Houston Dynamo88.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Colorado Rapids70
Houston Dynamo51.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
3.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/53 goals/match
2.12 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.5 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots5/514.8 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match
51.8%Possession5/543.4%
3.2 corners/matchCorners5/57 corners/match
Cards2/33.67 cards/match
16 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

7 / 6 matches
2.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/61.67 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/62.67 goals/match
2.12 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.5 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots7/614 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target7/64.67 shots/match
52.9%Possession7/643.3%
4.57 corners/matchCorners7/66.33 corners/match
3.25 cards/matchCards4/43.5 cards/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls7/69.67 fouls/match

Window

Season

7 / 6 matches
2.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/61.67 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/62.67 goals/match
2.12 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.5 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots7/614 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target7/64.67 shots/match
52.9%Possession7/643.3%
4.57 corners/matchCorners7/66.33 corners/match
3.25 cards/matchCards4/43.5 cards/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls7/69.67 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 2 matches
4 goals/matchGoals scored3/2
1 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2
Expected goals1/2
17 shots/matchShots3/2
8 shots/matchShots on target3/2
52.7%Possession3/2
5.33 corners/matchCorners3/2
Cards2/1
12 fouls/matchFouls3/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.35 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.04 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples7 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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