PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Toyota Stadium

FC Dallas 1–1 St.Louis City · Major League Soccer

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC Dallas and St.Louis City drew 1–1.

Shots
1110
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.361.32
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Dallas and St. Louis City drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (FC Dallas – St. Louis City): shots 11–10, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.36–1.32, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

St. Louis City's recent record differs from the season

weak

St. Louis City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.86 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots10 shotsFC Dallas 11 shots, St.Louis City 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsFC Dallas 3 shots, St.Louis City 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.36 xG1.32 xGFC Dallas 1.36 xG, St.Louis City 1.32 xG
  • Possession41%59%FC Dallas 41%, St.Louis City 59%
  • Corners5 corners10 cornersFC Dallas 5 corners, St.Louis City 10 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls8 foulsFC Dallas 11 fouls, St.Louis City 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardFC Dallas 3 cards, St.Louis City 1 card

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Dallas
2Draws
1St.Louis City
St.Louis City — FC Dallas · Major League Soccer1–1
FC Dallas — St.Louis City · Major League Soccer3–0
FC Dallas — St.Louis City · Major League Soccer2–0
St.Louis City — FC Dallas · Major League Soccer0–0
St.Louis City — FC Dallas · Major League Soccer2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Dallas favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · St.Louis City in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Dallas7 matchesSt.Louis City7 matches
2.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.86 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.82 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.23 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots7/713.1 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target7/75 shots/match
44.4%Possession7/7● 50.3%
4.43 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6.29 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/31.33 cards/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls7/711 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC DallasSt.Louis City
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headFC Dallas — St.Louis City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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