Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 20:30 UTCFull timeGillette StadiumFull-time recap
30Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNew England RevolutionCF Montreal
Shots9 shots/match18 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.77 xG/match1.09 xG/match
Possession36%64%
Corners1 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match23 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: CF Montreal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

CF Montreal's recent record differs from the season

weak

CF Montreal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.6 fouls/matchFoulsNew England Revolution · CF Montreal13.8 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricNew England RevolutionCF MontrealBaseline
Fouls14.6 fouls/match13.8 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

New England Revolution show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

New England Revolution's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.2 shots/matchShotsNew England Revolution · CF Montreal11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNew England RevolutionCF MontrealBaseline
Shots8.2 shots/match11.7 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match13 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

New England Revolution favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · CF Montreal in 2 · 5 too close

2.2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/61.17 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/62.83 goals/match
1.49 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.3 xG/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.9 xG/match
8.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/611.7 shots/match
14 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/613 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/63.67 shots/match
6.2 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/67 shots/match
44.6%Possessionseason · 5/650.5%
2.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/64.33 corners/match
4.6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/65.17 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/41.5 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/613.8 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/617%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/650%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

New England Revolution18.3
CF Montreal55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

New England Revolution38.3
CF Montreal31.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

New England Revolution24.5
CF Montreal17.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

New England Revolution11.7
CF Montreal35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

New England Revolution79.2
CF Montreal48.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 80%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

New England Revolution1.7
CF Montreal23.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

New England Revolution30
CF Montreal41.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
1.49 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.3 xG/match
8.2 shots/matchShots5/512.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match
44.6%Possession5/554.4%
2.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 6 matches
2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/61.17 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/62.83 goals/match
1.49 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.3 xG/match
8.2 shots/matchShots5/611.7 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/63.67 shots/match
44.6%Possession5/650.5%
2.6 corners/matchCorners5/64.33 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/41.5 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/613.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 6 matches
2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/61.17 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/62.83 goals/match
1.49 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.3 xG/match
8.2 shots/matchShots5/611.7 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/63.67 shots/match
44.6%Possession5/650.5%
2.6 corners/matchCorners5/64.33 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/41.5 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/613.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 6 matches
Goals scored2/61.17 goals/match
Goals allowed2/62.83 goals/match
Expected goals2/31.3 xG/match
Shots2/611.7 shots/match
Shots on target2/63.67 shots/match
Possession2/650.5%
Corners2/64.33 corners/match
Cards1/41.5 cards/match
Fouls2/613.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.2 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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