Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 23:00 UTCFull timeSnapdragon StadiumFull-time recap

San Diego

WWWD

2–2Full-time recap

Real Salt Lake

LWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	San Diego	Real Salt Lake
Shots	13 shots/match	21 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match	8 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.51 xG/match	3.04 xG/match▲
Possession	58%	42%
Corners	7 corners/match	8 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: San Diego have recorded the higher season possession share. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

San Diego have recorded the higher season possession share.

64.8%▲PossessionSan Diego · Real Salt Lake44%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	San Diego	Real Salt Lake	Baseline
Possession	64.8%	44%	49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

San Diego favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Real Salt Lake in 1 · 6 too close

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/51.8 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 5/51.4 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 2/2—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2—

10.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/5▲16.2 shots/match

10 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 5/513.2 shots/match

5.4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/55.4 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 5/55 shots/match

64.8%Possessionseason · 5/544%

5 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/55.4 corners/match

3.4 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/56.4 corners/match

2.25 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/42.75 cards/match

12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/510.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

60%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/50%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 5/580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

San Diego98.3

Real Salt Lake20

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

San Diego62.2

Real Salt Lake77.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

San Diego67.8

Real Salt Lake45.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

San Diego5

Real Salt Lake98.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

San Diego58.5

Real Salt Lake50.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 90%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

San Diego48.3

Real Salt Lake65

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

San Diego49.1

Real Salt Lake62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.8 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

10.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲16.2 shots/match

5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/55.4 shots/match

64.8%Possession5/544%

5 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match

2.25 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match

12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.8 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

10.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲16.2 shots/match

5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/55.4 shots/match

64.8%Possession5/544%

5 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match

2.25 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match

12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.8 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

10.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲16.2 shots/match

5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/55.4 shots/match

64.8%Possession5/544%

5 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match

2.25 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match

12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches

3 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31.67 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/31.67 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

11 shots/matchShots3/3▲14 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target3/34.67 shots/match

64%Possession3/340.3%

6.33 corners/matchCorners3/35 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match

12.3 fouls/matchFouls3/310.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.94 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.9 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 23 Mar 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4