Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 20:45 UTCFull timeProvidence ParkFull-time recap

Portland Timbers

WLLL

1–1Full-time recap

Los Angeles Galaxy

DWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Portland Timbers	Los Angeles Galaxy
Shots	8 shots/match	22 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.4 xG/match	1.76 xG/match▲
Possession	34%	66%
Corners	2 corners/match	9 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	14 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Los Angeles Galaxy's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Portland Timbers's home-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Los Angeles Galaxy show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Los Angeles Galaxy's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match▲ShotsPortland Timbers · Los Angeles Galaxy15.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Portland Timbers	Los Angeles Galaxy	Baseline
Shots	11.2 shots/match	15.4 shots/match	12.2 shots/match
Shots against	19.4 shots/match	7.8 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Portland Timbers have a visible home split

weak

Portland Timbers's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9 shots/match	11.2 shots/match	12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Los Angeles Galaxy have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.2%▲PossessionPortland Timbers · Los Angeles Galaxy54.6%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.4 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Portland Timbers	Los Angeles Galaxy	Baseline
Possession	44.2%	54.6%	49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Portland Timbers favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Los Angeles Galaxy in 8 · 6 too close

1.4 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/51.4 goals/match

2.4 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/5▲1.6 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 2/2—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2—

11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/5▲15.4 shots/match

19.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/5▲7.8 shots/match

4.4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/5▲7.4 shots/match

7 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/5▲2.8 shots/match

44.2%Possessionseason · 5/554.6%

4.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/55.8 corners/match

9.2 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/5▲2.8 corners/match

3 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/42.75 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/510 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/5▲20%

80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Portland Timbers26.7

Los Angeles Galaxy73.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Portland Timbers43.3

Los Angeles Galaxy79.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Portland Timbers6.1

Los Angeles Galaxy77.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Portland Timbers58.3

Los Angeles Galaxy81.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Portland Timbers49.9

Los Angeles Galaxy46.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 90%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Portland Timbers31.7

Los Angeles Galaxy70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Portland Timbers30.4

Los Angeles Galaxy67.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match

2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

11.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.4 shots/match

4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7.4 shots/match

44.2%Possession5/554.6%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards5/42.75 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match

2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

11.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.4 shots/match

4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7.4 shots/match

44.2%Possession5/554.6%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards5/42.75 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match

2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

11.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲15.4 shots/match

4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7.4 shots/match

44.2%Possession5/554.6%

4.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards5/42.75 cards/match

10 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 2 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/2—

2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2—

—Expected goals1/1—

9 shots/matchShots3/2—

3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/2—

41.3%Possession3/2—

3.67 corners/matchCorners3/2—

2.67 cards/matchCards3/2—

8.67 fouls/matchFouls3/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.84 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.8 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 23 Mar 2026, 00:45 UTC · analysis-v4