Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeYankee StadiumFull-time recap

New York City FC

DWWW

2–3Full-time recap

Inter Miami

LWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	New York City FC	Inter Miami
Shots	11 shots/match	22 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match	8 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.28 xG/match	1.45 xG/match▲
Possession	47%	53%
Corners	7 corners/match	7 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	14 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

New York City FC favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Inter Miami in 1 · 8 too close

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/51.8 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 2/2—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2—

12 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/5▲13.4 shots/match

11.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/512.2 shots/match

5.6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/55.4 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 5/54.8 shots/match

55.2%Possessionseason · 5/560.2%

4.4 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/54.8 corners/match

3.8 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/54.8 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32 cards/match

14.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/513 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/520%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 5/560%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

New York City FC85

Inter Miami91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

New York City FC73.3

Inter Miami71.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

New York City FC62.2

Inter Miami47.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

New York City FC21.7

Inter Miami35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

New York City FC55.5

Inter Miami55.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 80%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

New York City FC23.3

Inter Miami46.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

New York City FC59.6

Inter Miami64.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.8 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

12 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.4 shots/match

5.6 shots/matchShots on target5/55.4 shots/match

55.2%Possession5/560.2%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

14.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.8 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

12 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.4 shots/match

5.6 shots/matchShots on target5/55.4 shots/match

55.2%Possession5/560.2%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

14.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.8 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

12 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.4 shots/match

5.6 shots/matchShots on target5/55.4 shots/match

55.2%Possession5/560.2%

4.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

14.4 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 5 matches

3.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/51.8 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

12.3 shots/matchShots3/5▲13.4 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target3/55.4 shots/match

53%Possession3/560.2%

5.33 corners/matchCorners3/54.8 corners/match

—Cards1/32 cards/match

14 fouls/matchFouls3/513 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.73 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.73 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4