Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 21:30 UTCFull timeM&T Bank StadiumFull-time recap

DC United

WL

1–2Full-time recap

Inter Miami

LW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	DC United	Inter Miami
Shots	15 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Possession	36%	64%
Corners	8 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	16 fouls/match	8 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Inter Miami have recorded the higher season possession share. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Inter Miami have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.3%▲PossessionDC United · Inter Miami64.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	DC United	Inter Miami	Baseline
Possession	43.3%	64.3%	49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

DC United favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Inter Miami in 0 · 14 too close

0.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/32 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/32 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

9.67 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/311.7 shots/match

12.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/313.3 shots/match

2 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/35.33 shots/match

5.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/34.67 shots/match

43.3%Possessionseason · 3/364.3%

4.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/34 corners/match

5.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/34.67 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32 cards/match

17.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/312.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/30%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

DC United20.8

Inter Miami95.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

DC United8.4

Inter Miami73.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

DC United48.6

Inter Miami34.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

DC United37.5

Inter Miami4.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

DC United66.7

Inter Miami41.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

DC United45.8

Inter Miami33.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

DC United37.5

Inter Miami54.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches

0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲2 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

9.67 shots/matchShots3/3▲11.7 shots/match

2 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲5.33 shots/match

43.3%Possession3/364.3%

4.33 corners/matchCorners3/34 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

17.3 fouls/matchFouls3/312.3 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches

0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲2 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

9.67 shots/matchShots3/3▲11.7 shots/match

2 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲5.33 shots/match

43.3%Possession3/364.3%

4.33 corners/matchCorners3/34 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

17.3 fouls/matchFouls3/312.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches

0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲2 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

9.67 shots/matchShots3/3▲11.7 shots/match

2 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲5.33 shots/match

43.3%Possession3/364.3%

4.33 corners/matchCorners3/34 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

17.3 fouls/matchFouls3/312.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 3 matches

—Goals scored2/32 goals/match

—Goals allowed2/32 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

—Shots2/311.7 shots/match

—Shots on target2/35.33 shots/match

—Possession2/364.3%

—Corners2/34 corners/match

—Cards2/32 cards/match

—Fouls2/312.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.9 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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