PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026M&T Bank Stadium

DC United 1–2 Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Inter Miami CF won 1–2.

Shots
158
Shots on target
35
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter Miami beat DC United 2–1. Recorded in this match (DC United – Inter Miami): shots 15–8, shots on target 3–5, possession 36%–64%, corners 8–1. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Inter Miami have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.3%PossessionDC United · Inter Miami● 64.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDC UnitedInter MiamiBaseline
Possession43.3%64.3%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots8 shotsDC United 15 shots, Inter Miami CF 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsDC United 3 shots, Inter Miami CF 5 shots
  • Possession36%64%DC United 36%, Inter Miami CF 64%
  • Corners8 corners1 cornerDC United 8 corners, Inter Miami CF 1 corner
  • Fouls16 fouls8 foulsDC United 16 fouls, Inter Miami CF 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardDC United 1 card, Inter Miami CF 1 card

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0DC United
2Draws
3Inter Miami CF
Inter Miami CF — DC United · Major League Soccer3–2
DC United — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer1–1
Inter Miami CF — DC United · Major League Soccer1–0
DC United — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer1–3
DC United — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: DC United favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · Inter Miami CF in 0 · 9 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

DC United3 matchesInter Miami CF3 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match
9.67 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 11.7 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 5.33 shots/match
43.3%Possession3/3● 64.3%
4.33 corners/match ●Corners3/34 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match
17.3 fouls/matchFouls3/312.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsDC UnitedInter Miami CF
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headDC United — Inter Miami CF
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required