PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 19:30 UTCFull timeYankee StadiumFull-time recap
5–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricNew York City FCOrlando City SC
Shots13 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession71%29%
Corners5 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: New York City FC have recorded the higher season possession share. A second useful context is: New York City FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

New York City FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.7%▲PossessionNew York City FC · Orlando City SC38.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 24.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNew York City FCOrlando City SCBaseline
Possession62.7%38.7%53%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

New York City FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

New York City FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12 shots/match▲ShotsNew York City FC · Orlando City SC10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNew York City FCOrlando City SCBaseline
Shots12 shots/match10.3 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against9.33 shots/match16.7 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

New York City FC favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Orlando City SC in 0 · 14 too close

2.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/31 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/33.67 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
12 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/310.3 shots/match
9.33 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/316.7 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/34 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/38.67 shots/match
62.7%Possessionseason · 3/338.7%
3.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/33 corners/match
2.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/37.33 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/33 cards/match
15.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/310 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/30%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

New York City FC62.5
Orlando City SC12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

New York City FC79.2
Orlando City SC37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

New York City FC87.5
Orlando City SC12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

New York City FC37.5
Orlando City SC87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

New York City FC37.5
Orlando City SC50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

New York City FC37.5
Orlando City SC12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

New York City FC62.5
Orlando City SC25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

3 / 3 matches
2.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/33.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/match▲Shots3/310.3 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target3/34 shots/match
62.7%Possession3/338.7%
3.67 corners/matchCorners3/33 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/33 cards/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls3/310 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

3 / 3 matches
2.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/33.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/match▲Shots3/310.3 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target3/34 shots/match
62.7%Possession3/338.7%
3.67 corners/matchCorners3/33 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/33 cards/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls3/310 fouls/match

Window

Season

3 / 3 matches
2.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/31 goals/match
0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/33.67 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/match▲Shots3/310.3 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target3/34 shots/match
62.7%Possession3/338.7%
3.67 corners/matchCorners3/33 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards3/33 cards/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls3/310 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

1 / 1 matches
—Goals scored1/1—
—Goals allowed1/1—
—Expected goals0/0—
—Shots1/1—
—Shots on target1/1—
—Possession1/1—
—Corners1/1—
—Cards1/1—
—Fouls1/1—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.81 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsNew York City FCOrlando City SC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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