Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 16 May 2026, 13:30 UTCStadion An der Alten Försterei

1. FC Union Berlin

LLLDW

4–0Historical match

FC Augsburg

DWDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Union Berlin won 4–0.

Shots: 1711
Shots on target: 91
Expected goals: 3.680.61
Possession: 49%51%

This match

Match statistics

Shots17 shots11 shots1. FC Union Berlin 17 shots, FC Augsburg 11 shots
Shots on target9 shots1 shot1. FC Union Berlin 9 shots, FC Augsburg 1 shot
Expected goals3.68 xG0.61 xG1. FC Union Berlin 3.68 xG, FC Augsburg 0.61 xG
Possession49%51%1. FC Union Berlin 49%, FC Augsburg 51%
Corners4 corners9 corners1. FC Union Berlin 4 corners, FC Augsburg 9 corners
Fouls6 fouls7 fouls1. FC Union Berlin 6 fouls, FC Augsburg 7 fouls
Yellow cards3 cards1 card1. FC Union Berlin 3 cards, FC Augsburg 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Union Berlin: 17 shots, 9 on target, 3.19 xG. FC Augsburg: 11 shots, 1 on target, 0.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Union Berlin 3.19 xG · FC Augsburg 0.53 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Union Berlin beat FC Augsburg 4–0. Recorded in this match (Union Berlin – FC Augsburg): shots 17–11, shots on target 9–1, expected goals 3.68–0.61, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.2 goals/match	1.29 goals/match	1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

11. FC Union Berlin

2Draws

2FC Augsburg

15 Jan 2026FC Augsburg — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–1

17 May 2025FC Augsburg — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–2

15 Jan 20251. FC Union Berlin — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga0–2

12 Apr 2024FC Augsburg — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga2–0

25 Nov 20231. FC Union Berlin — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Union Berlin favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin34 matchesFC Augsburg34 matches

1.29 goals/matchGoals scored34/341.32 goals/match

1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed34/341.79 goals/match

1.34 xG/matchExpected goals34/341.36 xG/match

12.5 shots/matchShots34/34▲ 13.2 shots/match

3.91 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲ 4.62 shots/match

40.2%Possession34/34● 43.9%

5 corners/match ●Corners34/344.62 corners/match

2.27 cards/matchCards26/262.73 cards/match

12.2 fouls/matchFouls34/3411 fouls/match

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

1. FC Union Berlin2.8

FC Augsburg16.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

1. FC Union Berlin31.5

FC Augsburg56.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

1. FC Union Berlin58.4

FC Augsburg27.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

1. FC Union Berlin97.2

FC Augsburg91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

1. FC Union Berlin80.6

FC Augsburg83.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

1. FC Union Berlin58.3

FC Augsburg38.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

1. FC Union Berlin52.8

FC Augsburg58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches

5.83 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited

Season samples34 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 May 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4