Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 16 May 2026, 13:30 UTCAllianz Arena

FC Bayern München

WWWDW

5–1Historical match

1. FC Köln

WDLDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 5–1.

Shots: 199
Shots on target: 72
Expected goals: 3.050.98
Possession: 69%31%

This match

Match statistics

Shots19 shots9 shotsFC Bayern München 19 shots, 1. FC Köln 9 shots
Shots on target7 shots2 shotsFC Bayern München 7 shots, 1. FC Köln 2 shots
Expected goals3.05 xG0.98 xGFC Bayern München 3.05 xG, 1. FC Köln 0.98 xG
Possession69%31%FC Bayern München 69%, 1. FC Köln 31%
Corners5 corners5 cornersFC Bayern München 5 corners, 1. FC Köln 5 corners
Fouls6 fouls4 foulsFC Bayern München 6 fouls, 1. FC Köln 4 fouls
Yellow cards1 card1 cardFC Bayern München 1 card, 1. FC Köln 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Bayern München: 19 shots, 7 on target, 2.76 xG. 1. FC Köln: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayern München 2.76 xG · 1. FC Köln 0.87 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayern München beat 1. FC Köln 5–1. Recorded in this match (Bayern München – 1. FC Köln): shots 19–9, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 3.05–0.98, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.2 shots/match ▲ShotsBayern München · 1. FC Köln13.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Bayern München	1. FC Köln	Baseline
Shots	19.2 shots/match	13.4 shots/match	12.8 shots/match
Shots against	10.5 shots/match	13.6 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

67.4% ●PossessionBayern München · 1. FC Köln47%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.4 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Bayern München	1. FC Köln	Baseline
Possession	67.4%	47%	47.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

1. FC Köln's recent record differs from the season

weak

1. FC Köln's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1.44 goals/match	1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5FC Bayern München

0Draws

01. FC Köln

14 Jan 20261. FC Köln — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–3

29 Oct 20251. FC Köln — FC Bayern München · DFB Pokal1–4

13 Apr 2024FC Bayern München — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga2–0

24 Nov 20231. FC Köln — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–1

27 May 20231. FC Köln — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Köln in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München34 matches1. FC Köln34 matches

3.59 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/341.44 goals/match

1.06 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.85 goals/match

2.95 xG/match ▲Expected goals34/341.51 xG/match

19.2 shots/match ▲Shots34/3413.4 shots/match

8.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target34/344.59 shots/match

67.4% ●Possession34/3447%

6.35 corners/match ●Corners34/344.62 corners/match

1.85 cards/matchCards26/271.96 cards/match

8.74 fouls/matchFouls34/348.32 fouls/match

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FC Bayern München97.2

1. FC Köln47.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FC Bayern München97.2

1. FC Köln58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FC Bayern München95.4

1. FC Köln42.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FC Bayern München75.0

1. FC Köln80.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FC Bayern München22.2

1. FC Köln22.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FC Bayern München97.2

1. FC Köln38.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FC Bayern München76.4

1. FC Köln41.0

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches

6.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.92 days

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited

Season samples34 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 May 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4