Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Hamburger SV — Bundesliga 2025/26 Match Stats

Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 17:30 UTCSignal Iduna Park

Borussia Dortmund

WDLWW

3–2Historical match

Hamburger SV

DLLWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 3–2.

Shots: 244
Shots on target: 84
Expected goals: 6.21.47
Possession: 68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat Hamburger SV 3–2. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – Hamburger SV): shots 24–4, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 6.2–1.47, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hamburger SV's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hamburger SV's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	7.2 shots/match	12.1 shots/match	12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Hamburger SV show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Hamburger SV's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · Hamburger SV12.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Borussia Dortmund	Hamburger SV	Baseline
Shots	13.5 shots/match	12.1 shots/match	12.7 shots/match
Shots against	10.7 shots/match	14.1 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

11.6 fouls/matchFoulsBorussia Dortmund · Hamburger SV11.8 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Borussia Dortmund	Hamburger SV	Baseline
Fouls	11.6 fouls/match	11.8 fouls/match	10.4 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

Shots24 shots4 shotsBorussia Dortmund 24 shots, Hamburger SV 4 shots
Shots on target8 shots4 shotsBorussia Dortmund 8 shots, Hamburger SV 4 shots
Expected goals6.2 xG1.47 xGBorussia Dortmund 6.2 xG, Hamburger SV 1.47 xG
Possession68%32%Borussia Dortmund 68%, Hamburger SV 32%
Corners11 corners3 cornersBorussia Dortmund 11 corners, Hamburger SV 3 corners
Fouls10 fouls8 foulsBorussia Dortmund 10 fouls, Hamburger SV 8 fouls
Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsBorussia Dortmund 2 cards, Hamburger SV 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 24 shots, 8 on target, 6.57 xG. Hamburger SV: 4 shots, 4 on target, 1.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 6.57 xG · Hamburger SV 1.49 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Borussia Dortmund

1Draws

0Hamburger SV

8 Nov 2025Hamburger SV — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Hamburger SV in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund27 matchesHamburger SV27 matches

2.15 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.15 goals/match

1.04 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.48 goals/match

1.93 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.2 xG/match

13.5 shots/match ▲Shots27/2712.1 shots/match

4.93 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/274.59 shots/match

53.9% ●Possession27/2746.2%

5.7 corners/match ●Corners27/273.63 corners/match

1.92 cards/matchCards25/252.6 cards/match

11.6 fouls/matchFouls27/2711.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited

Season samples27 / 27home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

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Match at a glance

What the match recorded

Hamburger SV's recent record differs from the season