Bundesliga · 2025Sun, 1 Mar 2026, 16:30 UTCFull timeDeutsche Bank ParkFull-time recap

Eintracht Frankfurt

LLDWL

2–0Full-time recap

SC Freiburg

WLWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Eintracht Frankfurt	SC Freiburg
Shots	15 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Possession	63%	37%
Corners	5 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	11 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: SC Freiburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

SC Freiburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Freiburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.42 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	1.42 goals/match	1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Eintracht Frankfurt

1Draws

0SC Freiburg

19 Oct 2025SC Freiburg — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga2–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · SC Freiburg in 2 · 8 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 24/241.42 goals/match

2.04 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 24/24▲1.63 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 24/2412 shots/match

12.5 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 24/2413.8 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 24/244 shots/match

4.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 24/244.54 shots/match

52.9%Possessionseason · 24/2447.5%

4.29 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/244.46 corners/match

4.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 24/244.21 corners/match

1.96 cards/matchCardsseason · 24/24▲1.67 cards/match

10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/249.63 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/2421%

92%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 24/2471%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Eintracht Frankfurt69.4

SC Freiburg52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Eintracht Frankfurt51.8

SC Freiburg41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Eintracht Frankfurt41.7

SC Freiburg47.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Eintracht Frankfurt2.8

SC Freiburg36.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt48.6

SC Freiburg29.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt13.9

SC Freiburg30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Eintracht Frankfurt36.1

SC Freiburg31.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

10 shots/match▲Shots5/59 shots/match

4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match

54.2%Possession5/535.4%

3.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match

10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.9 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.6 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

10 shots/matchShots10/10▲10.8 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.1 shots/match

50%Possession10/1041.9%

3.5 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match

2.4 cards/matchCards10/101.7 cards/match

11.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

24 / 24 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored24/241.42 goals/match

2.04 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲1.63 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.6 shots/matchShots24/2412 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target24/244 shots/match

52.9%Possession24/2447.5%

4.29 corners/matchCorners24/244.46 corners/match

1.96 cards/matchCards24/241.67 cards/match

10.9 fouls/matchFouls24/249.63 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 13 matches

1.83 goals/match▲Goals scored12/131 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/132.08 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

12.7 shots/match▲Shots12/1310.7 shots/match

5.17 shots/match▲Shots on target12/133.08 shots/match

51.6%Possession12/1343.9%

5 corners/matchCorners12/134.08 corners/match

1.58 cards/matchCards12/131.54 cards/match

10.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1310 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.08 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples24 / 24home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Mar 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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