PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025MHPArena

VfB Stuttgart 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfB Stuttgart and 1. FC Union Berlin drew 1–1.

Shots
1320
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
2.051.71
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfB Stuttgart and Union Berlin drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (VfB Stuttgart – Union Berlin): shots 13–20, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 2.05–1.71, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfB Stuttgart's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.83 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Union Berlin.

4.88 days ▲Rest daysVfB Stuttgart · Union Berlin2.79 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricVfB StuttgartUnion BerlinBaseline
Rest days4.88 days2.79 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

VfB Stuttgart have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.8% ●PossessionVfB Stuttgart · Union Berlin38.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVfB StuttgartUnion BerlinBaseline
Possession56.8%38.6%48.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots20 shotsVfB Stuttgart 13 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 20 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsVfB Stuttgart 4 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.05 xG1.71 xGVfB Stuttgart 2.05 xG, 1. FC Union Berlin 1.71 xG
  • Possession57%43%VfB Stuttgart 57%, 1. FC Union Berlin 43%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersVfB Stuttgart 3 corners, 1. FC Union Berlin 8 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls11 foulsVfB Stuttgart 6 fouls, 1. FC Union Berlin 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardVfB Stuttgart 1 card, 1. FC Union Berlin 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Deniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Mittelstädt · VfB Stuttgart · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosip Juranović · Union Berlin · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLivan Burcu · Union Berlin · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Ilić · Union Berlin · 85′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAndrej Ilić · Union Berlin · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosha Vagnoman · VfB Stuttgart · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeopold Querfeld · Union Berlin · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWoo-Yeong Jeong · Union Berlin · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosha Vagnoman · VfB Stuttgart · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeopold Querfeld · Union Berlin · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJanik Haberer · Union Berlin · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Leite · Union Berlin · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRani Khedira · Union Berlin · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLivan Burcu · Union Berlin · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOliver Burke · Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJanik Haberer · Union Berlin · 55′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 59′ · 0.06 xG · goalDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAndrás Schäfer · Union Berlin · 54′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Ilić · Union Berlin · 66′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedStanley N'Soki · Union Berlin · 73′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedWoo-Yeong Jeong · Union Berlin · 83′ · 0.15 xG · goalAndrej Ilić · Union Berlin · 13′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedWoo-Yeong Jeong · Union Berlin · 88′ · 0.27 xG · on targetAndrej Ilić · Union Berlin · 11′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Stiller · VfB Stuttgart · 80′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedJosha Vagnoman · VfB Stuttgart · 7′ · 0.37 xG · on targetDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 49′ · 0.46 xG · on targetJosha Vagnoman · VfB Stuttgart · 48′ · 0.53 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfB Stuttgart: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.97 xG. Union Berlin: 20 shots, 3 on target, 1.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Chris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 59′Woo-Yeong Jeong · Union Berlin · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfB Stuttgart 1.97 xG · Union Berlin 1.72 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3VfB Stuttgart
1Draws
11. FC Union Berlin
1. FC Union Berlin — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–1
1. FC Union Berlin — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga4–4
VfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga3–2
VfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga2–0
1. FC Union Berlin — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfB Stuttgart favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Union Berlin in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfB Stuttgart18 matches1. FC Union Berlin18 matches
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181.33 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed18/181.5 goals/match
1.63 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.34 xG/match
15.3 shots/match ▲Shots18/1813.1 shots/match
5.78 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/183.67 shots/match
56.8% ●Possession18/1838.6%
5.61 corners/match ●Corners18/185.22 corners/match
1.94 cards/matchCards18/182.28 cards/match
9.89 fouls/matchFouls18/1813.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Jan 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfB Stuttgart1. FC Union Berlin
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headVfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Union Berlin
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required