PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025BayArena

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–2 Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 1–2.

Shots
147
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.820.99
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat Bayer Leverkusen 2–1. Recorded in this match (Bayer Leverkusen – Borussia Dortmund): shots 14–7, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.82–0.99, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayer Leverkusen have a visible home split

moderate

Bayer Leverkusen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots7 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 14 shots, Borussia Dortmund 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 4 shots, Borussia Dortmund 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.82 xG0.99 xGBayer 04 Leverkusen 0.82 xG, Borussia Dortmund 0.99 xG
  • Possession63%37%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 63%, Borussia Dortmund 37%
  • Corners10 corners3 cornersBayer 04 Leverkusen 10 corners, Borussia Dortmund 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls9 foulsBayer 04 Leverkusen 7 fouls, Borussia Dortmund 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsBayer 04 Leverkusen 3 cards, Borussia Dortmund 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ernest Poku · Bayer Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIbrahim Maza · Bayer Leverkusen · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedErnest Poku · Bayer Leverkusen · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJonas Hofmann · Bayer Leverkusen · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEdmond Tapsoba · Bayer Leverkusen · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Maza · Bayer Leverkusen · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Maza · Bayer Leverkusen · 73′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEdmond Tapsoba · Bayer Leverkusen · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLoïc Badé · Bayer Leverkusen · 64′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJonas Hofmann · Bayer Leverkusen · 71′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 56′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAaron Anselmino · Borussia Dortmund · 41′ · 0.08 xG · goalErnest Poku · Bayer Leverkusen · 10′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kofane · Bayer Leverkusen · 83′ · 0.09 xG · goalKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 65′ · 0.12 xG · goalJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 75′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMalik Tillman · Bayer Leverkusen · 55′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 59′ · 0.31 xG · on targetJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 72′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bayer Leverkusen: 14 shots, 4 on target, 0.84 xG. Borussia Dortmund: 7 shots, 4 on target, 1.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Christian Kofane · Bayer Leverkusen · 83′Aaron Anselmino · Borussia Dortmund · 41′Karim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer Leverkusen 0.84 xG · Borussia Dortmund 1.13 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2Draws
2Borussia Dortmund
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga2–4
Borussia Dortmund — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–3
Borussia Dortmund — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 7

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen12 matchesBorussia Dortmund12 matches
2.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/121.75 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 0.92 goals/match
1.73 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/121.59 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots12/1212.6 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/124.5 shots/match
59% ●Possession12/1253.8%
4.67 corners/matchCorners12/12● 5.42 corners/match
2.58 cards/matchCards12/121.83 cards/match
8.83 fouls/matchFouls12/1212 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBayer 04 LeverkusenBorussia Dortmund
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headBayer 04 Leverkusen — Borussia Dortmund
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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