Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeBayArenaFull-time recap

Bayer Leverkusen

WWLWW

1–2Full-time recap

Borussia Dortmund

LWWDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Bayer Leverkusen	Borussia Dortmund
Shots	14 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Possession	63%	37%
Corners	10 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	9 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match▲	4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bayer Leverkusen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Bayer Leverkusen have a visible home split

moderate

Bayer Leverkusen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.6 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	16.6 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bayer Leverkusen favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 7 · 4 too close

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 12/121.75 goals/match

1.42 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/12▲0.92 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

13.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 12/1212.6 shots/match

11.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/12▲10.6 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 12/124.5 shots/match

4.42 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/12▲3.08 shots/match

59%Possessionseason · 12/1253.8%

4.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/125.42 corners/match

5.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/12▲4.92 corners/match

2.58 cards/matchCardsseason · 12/12▲1.83 cards/match

8.83 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/1212 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/12▲50%

92%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/12▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bayer Leverkusen91.7

Borussia Dortmund75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bayer Leverkusen81.5

Borussia Dortmund50.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bayer Leverkusen73.1

Borussia Dortmund91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bayer Leverkusen8.3

Borussia Dortmund13.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bayer Leverkusen41.6

Borussia Dortmund56.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bayer Leverkusen41.7

Borussia Dortmund75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bayer Leverkusen52.1

Borussia Dortmund59

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14.4 shots/matchShots5/514 shots/match

4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match

61.8%Possession5/552.2%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/56.2 corners/match

1.2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match

6.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.5 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.8 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14.8 shots/match▲Shots10/1013.2 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.1 shots/match

59.3%Possession10/1053.2%

4.3 corners/matchCorners10/105.9 corners/match

2.8 cards/matchCards10/101.8 cards/match

8.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

12 / 12 matches

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored12/121.75 goals/match

1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲0.92 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.8 shots/match▲Shots12/1212.6 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target12/124.5 shots/match

59%Possession12/1253.8%

4.67 corners/matchCorners12/125.42 corners/match

2.58 cards/matchCards12/121.83 cards/match

8.83 fouls/matchFouls12/1212 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches

2.29 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71.71 goals/match

0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

16.6 shots/match▲Shots7/710.3 shots/match

5.71 shots/match▲Shots on target7/73.71 shots/match

63%Possession7/751.3%

5.71 corners/matchCorners7/73.71 corners/match

2.43 cards/matchCards7/72.43 cards/match

9 fouls/matchFouls7/712.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.12 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples12 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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