UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 25 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeSignal Iduna ParkFull-time recap

Borussia Dortmund

DWWL

4–0Full-time recap

Villarreal

LDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Borussia Dortmund	Villarreal
Shots	13 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	3.62 xG/match▲	0.79 xG/match
Possession	67%	33%
Corners	3 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	17 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 13 shots, 8 on target, 4.30 xG. Villarreal: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.81 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 4.30 xG · Villarreal 0.81 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Borussia Dortmund have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Borussia Dortmund show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · Villarreal13.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Borussia Dortmund	Villarreal	Baseline
Shots	11.4 shots/match	13.2 shots/match	13.4 shots/match
Shots against	12.8 shots/match	10 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Borussia Dortmund have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.2%▲PossessionBorussia Dortmund · Villarreal42.6%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.6 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Borussia Dortmund	Villarreal	Baseline
Possession	56.2%	42.6%	49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Borussia Dortmund favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Villarreal in 4 · 4 too close

3.4 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/50.4 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/5▲2 goals/match

1.82 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 5/51.23 xG/match

1.28 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 5/51.6 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/5▲13.2 shots/match

12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/5▲10 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 5/53 shots/match

5.4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/5▲4.2 shots/match

56.2%Possessionseason · 5/542.6%

4 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/52.6 corners/match

2.8 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/52.8 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/512.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/50%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 5/520%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Borussia Dortmund75

Villarreal10.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Borussia Dortmund63.2

Villarreal18.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Borussia Dortmund33.5

Villarreal55.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Borussia Dortmund15.5

Villarreal72.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Borussia Dortmund72.6

Villarreal67.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Borussia Dortmund32.1

Villarreal3.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Borussia Dortmund49.7

Villarreal31

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

3.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲2 goals/match

1.82 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.23 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.2 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match

56.2%Possession5/542.6%

4 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches

3.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲2 goals/match

1.82 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.23 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.2 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match

56.2%Possession5/542.6%

4 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches

3.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲2 goals/match

1.82 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.23 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.2 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match

56.2%Possession5/542.6%

4 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 3 matches

—Goals scored2/30 goals/match

—Goals allowed2/32 goals/match

—Expected goals2/31.01 xG/match

—Shots2/312.7 shots/match

—Shots on target2/32.33 shots/match

—Possession2/344.7%

—Corners2/32.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/312.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

20 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/120.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 26 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4