PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeEstadio de la CeramicaFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricVillarrealMallorca
Shots14 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession58%42%
Corners3 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Villarreal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Villarreal have a visible home split

moderate

Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Villarreal's recent record differs from the season

weak

Villarreal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match2 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match▲ShotsVillarreal · Mallorca10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealMallorcaBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match10.6 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Villarreal favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Mallorca in 0 · 5 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 13/131 goals/match
0.85 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/131.54 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 13/1310.6 shots/match
12.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 13/1314.3 shots/match
5.08 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 13/133.77 shots/match
3.23 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/135.08 shots/match
46.2%Possessionseason · 13/1344.8%
4.62 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/133.46 corners/match
3.54 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/136.38 corners/match
2.23 cards/matchCardsseason · 13/132.31 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1311.6 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
46%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1315%
92%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1377%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Villarreal27.5
Mallorca22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Villarreal80
Mallorca38.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Villarreal76.7
Mallorca20.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Villarreal87.5
Mallorca47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Villarreal42.5
Mallorca45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Villarreal40
Mallorca17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Villarreal56.9
Mallorca30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.6 shots/matchShots5/511.2 shots/match
5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match
46.6%Possession5/546.8%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/52.8 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.7 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.3 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.9 shots/match
44.5%Possession10/1046.2%
3.7 corners/matchCorners10/103.4 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131 goals/match
0.85 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.54 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.8 shots/match▲Shots13/1310.6 shots/match
5.08 shots/match▲Shots on target13/133.77 shots/match
46.2%Possession13/1344.8%
4.62 corners/matchCorners13/133.46 corners/match
2.23 cards/matchCards13/132.31 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
2.57 goals/match▲Goals scored7/71.14 goals/match
0.57 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/72 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.3 shots/match▲Shots7/710.9 shots/match
6.71 shots/match▲Shots on target7/74.29 shots/match
53.4%Possession7/745.7%
6 corners/matchCorners7/73.71 corners/match
1.43 cards/matchCards7/72.29 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls7/711.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsVillarrealMallorca
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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