PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal 2–1 Mallorca · La Liga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Villarreal won 2–1.

Shots
149
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
2.231.02
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Villarreal beat Mallorca 2–1. Recorded in this match (Villarreal – Mallorca): shots 14–9, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 2.23–1.02, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Villarreal have a visible home split

moderate

Villarreal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Villarreal's recent record differs from the season

weak

Villarreal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match2 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsVillarreal · Mallorca10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVillarrealMallorcaBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match10.6 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots9 shotsVillarreal 14 shots, Mallorca 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsVillarreal 7 shots, Mallorca 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.23 xG1.02 xGVillarreal 2.23 xG, Mallorca 1.02 xG
  • Possession58%42%Villarreal 58%, Mallorca 42%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerVillarreal 3 corners, Mallorca 1 corner
  • Fouls17 fouls8 foulsVillarreal 17 fouls, Mallorca 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsVillarreal 2 cards, Mallorca 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jan Virgili · Mallorca · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pépé · Villarreal · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTakuma Asano · Mallorca · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 25′ · 0.03 xG · on targetPablo Torre · Mallorca · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJohan Mojica · Mallorca · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPape Gueye · Villarreal · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamú Costa · Mallorca · 8′ · 0.05 xG · goalAntonio Sánchez · Mallorca · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMateo Joseph · Mallorca · 23′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 50′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Villarreal · 42′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 47′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 38′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Villarreal · 60′ · 0.12 xG · on targetPablo Torre · Mallorca · 34′ · 0.32 xG · on targetGeorges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 72′ · 0.33 xG · on targetVedat Muriqi · Mallorca · 87′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 6′ · 0.37 xG · goalTani Oluwaseyi · Villarreal · 83′ · 0.79 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Villarreal: 14 shots, 7 on target, 2.19 xG. Mallorca: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Gerard Moreno · Villarreal · 6′Tani Oluwaseyi · Villarreal · 83′Samú Costa · Mallorca · 8′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 2.19 xG · Mallorca 0.94 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Villarreal
1Draws
1Mallorca
Villarreal — Mallorca · La Liga4–0
Mallorca — Villarreal · La Liga1–2
Villarreal — Mallorca · La Liga1–1
Mallorca — Villarreal · La Liga0–1
Mallorca — Villarreal · La Liga4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Villarreal favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Mallorca in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Villarreal13 matchesMallorca13 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131 goal/match
0.85 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.54 goals/match
1.8 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/130.96 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots13/1310.6 shots/match
5.08 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.77 shots/match
46.2% ●Possession13/1344.8%
4.62 corners/match ●Corners13/133.46 corners/match
2.23 cards/matchCards13/132.31 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVillarrealMallorca
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headVillarreal — Mallorca
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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