PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna 1–3 Real Sociedad · La Liga

Osasuna

WLLDL
1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Sociedad won 1–3.

Shots
1419
Shots on target
49
Expected goals
1.341.63
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Sociedad beat Osasuna 3–1. Recorded in this match (Osasuna – Real Sociedad): shots 14–19, shots on target 4–9, expected goals 1.34–1.63, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.31 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible home split

moderate

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match10.1 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Sociedad show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Sociedad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsOsasuna · Real Sociedad13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOsasunaReal SociedadBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match13.6 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots19 shotsOsasuna 14 shots, Real Sociedad 19 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots9 shotsOsasuna 4 shots, Real Sociedad 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.34 xG1.63 xGOsasuna 1.34 xG, Real Sociedad 1.63 xG
  • Possession46%54%Osasuna 46%, Real Sociedad 54%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersOsasuna 3 corners, Real Sociedad 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls7 foulsOsasuna 13 fouls, Real Sociedad 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsOsasuna 3 cards, Real Sociedad 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ander Barrenetxea · Real Sociedad · 82′ · 0.01 xG · goalAbel Bretones · Osasuna · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArsen Zakharyan · Real Sociedad · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArsen Zakharyan · Real Sociedad · 23′ · 0.02 xG · on targetArsen Zakharyan · Real Sociedad · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Soler · Real Sociedad · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVíctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRaúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 76′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAbel Bretones · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVíctor Muñoz · Osasuna · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDuje Ćaleta-Car · Real Sociedad · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJon Aramburu · Real Sociedad · 19′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMoi Gómez · Osasuna · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Soler · Real Sociedad · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJon Martin · Real Sociedad · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Soler · Real Sociedad · 73′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJon Gorrotxategi · Real Sociedad · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRaúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 22′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Guedes · Real Sociedad · 28′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 53′ · 0.08 xG · goalAlejandro Catena · Osasuna · 85′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRubén García · Osasuna · 62′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRaúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 40′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAimar Oroz · Osasuna · 67′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAlejandro Catena · Osasuna · 85′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedRubén García · Osasuna · 81′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 68′ · 0.16 xG · on targetTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.16 xG · on targetAlejandro Catena · Osasuna · 42′ · 0.22 xG · goalMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 46′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Guedes · Real Sociedad · 59′ · 0.41 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Osasuna: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.13 xG. Real Sociedad: 19 shots, 9 on target, 1.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Alejandro Catena · Osasuna · 42′Brais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 53′Gonçalo Guedes · Real Sociedad · 59′Ander Barrenetxea · Real Sociedad · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Osasuna 1.13 xG · Real Sociedad 1.63 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Osasuna
1Draws
1Real Sociedad
Osasuna — Real Sociedad · La Liga2–1
Real Sociedad — Osasuna · La Liga0–2
Real Sociedad — Osasuna · La Liga0–1
Osasuna — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–1
Osasuna — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Osasuna favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Osasuna13 matchesReal Sociedad13 matches
0.77 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.31 goals/match
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.38 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.39 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 13.6 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 4.85 shots/match
46.5%Possession13/13● 50.8%
2.69 corners/matchCorners13/13● 6.23 corners/match
2.38 cards/matchCards13/132.23 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls13/1315.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOsasunaReal Sociedad
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headOsasuna — Real Sociedad
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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