PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeEstadio El SadarFull-time recap

Osasuna

WLLDL
1–3Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOsasunaReal Sociedad
Shots14 shots/match19 shots/match▲
Shots on target4 shots/match9 shots/match▲
Possession46%54%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.31 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible home split

moderate

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match10.1 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Sociedad show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Sociedad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.1 shots/match▲ShotsOsasuna · Real Sociedad13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOsasunaReal SociedadBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match13.6 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 8 · 4 too close

0.77 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/13▲1.31 goals/match
1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/131.38 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/13▲13.6 shots/match
13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/13▲12.3 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/13▲4.85 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/13▲3.69 shots/match
46.5%Possessionseason · 13/1350.8%
2.69 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/136.23 corners/match
4.46 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/13▲4.08 corners/match
2.38 cards/matchCardsseason · 13/13▲2.23 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1315.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
23%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/138%
54%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/13▲85%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna32.5
Real Sociedad55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna17.5
Real Sociedad70.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna32.5
Real Sociedad47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna22.5
Real Sociedad72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna60
Real Sociedad70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna2.5
Real Sociedad87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna25
Real Sociedad80
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/matchShots5/512.6 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.8 shots/match
49.6%Possession5/548.2%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/516.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.1 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.7 shots/match
46.5%Possession10/1049.5%
2.9 corners/matchCorners10/105.9 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards10/102.4 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
0.77 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲1.31 goals/match
1.23 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.38 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.1 shots/matchShots13/13▲13.6 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲4.85 shots/match
46.5%Possession13/1350.8%
2.69 corners/matchCorners13/136.23 corners/match
2.38 cards/matchCards13/132.23 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls13/1315.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 7 matches
1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored6/71.14 goals/match
1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/71.43 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/matchShots6/7▲14 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target6/7▲5.29 shots/match
49.5%Possession6/746.9%
2.83 corners/matchCorners6/75.57 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards6/72.71 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls6/714.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.9 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsOsasunaReal Sociedad
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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