PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeReale ArenaFull-time recap
2–3Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal SociedadVillarreal
Shots18 shots/match▲10 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Possession60%40%
Corners8 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match18 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match▲8 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal have a visible away split

moderate

Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.71 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.71 shots/match13.5 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Sociedad show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Sociedad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.9 shots/match▲ShotsReal Sociedad · Villarreal13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal SociedadVillarrealBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match13.5 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Villarreal in 5 · 8 too close

1.36 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 14/14▲2.07 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/14▲0.93 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/1413.5 shots/match
12.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/1412.6 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/145.07 shots/match
3.79 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/14▲3.5 shots/match
51.4%Possessionseason · 14/1445.8%
6.36 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/144.43 corners/match
3.93 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 14/143.86 corners/match
2.36 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 14/142.64 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1412.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
7%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/14▲43%
86%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/14▲93%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad67.5
Villarreal27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad75
Villarreal79.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad47.5
Villarreal70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad72.5
Villarreal87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad73.8
Villarreal65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad87.5
Villarreal37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad83.8
Villarreal56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.6 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.8 shots/matchShots5/512.2 shots/match
5.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55.4 shots/match
48.4%Possession5/546.6%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/53.4 cards/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.1 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.6 shots/matchShots10/1012.9 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target10/105 shots/match
49.1%Possession10/1044.6%
5.5 corners/matchCorners10/103.6 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards10/103 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

14 / 14 matches
1.36 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲2.07 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲0.93 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.9 shots/matchShots14/1413.5 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target14/145.07 shots/match
51.4%Possession14/1445.8%
6.36 corners/matchCorners14/144.43 corners/match
2.36 cards/matchCards14/142.64 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
1.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.57 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲1.29 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.9 shots/match▲Shots7/79.71 shots/match
4.71 shots/match▲Shots on target7/73.43 shots/match
56%Possession7/738.1%
7.14 corners/matchCorners7/72.86 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards7/73.86 cards/match
16.1 fouls/matchFouls7/713.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.81 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.71 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal SociedadVillarreal
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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