PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Reale Arena

Real Sociedad 2–3 Villarreal · La Liga

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Villarreal won 2–3.

Shots
1810
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.021.51
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Villarreal beat Real Sociedad 3–2. Recorded in this match (Real Sociedad – Villarreal): shots 18–10, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.02–1.51, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal have a visible away split

moderate

Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.71 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.71 shots/match13.5 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Sociedad show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Sociedad's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Sociedad · Villarreal13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal SociedadVillarrealBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match13.5 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots10 shotsReal Sociedad 18 shots, Villarreal 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsReal Sociedad 7 shots, Villarreal 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.02 xG1.51 xGReal Sociedad 1.02 xG, Villarreal 1.51 xG
  • Possession60%40%Real Sociedad 60%, Villarreal 40%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersReal Sociedad 8 corners, Villarreal 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls18 foulsReal Sociedad 15 fouls, Villarreal 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards8 cardsReal Sociedad 4 cards, Villarreal 8 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Brais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJon Gorrotxategi · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Guedes · Real Sociedad · 65′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArsen Zakharyan · Real Sociedad · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJuan Foyth · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 15′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIlias Akhomach · Villarreal · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.04 xG · goalSanti Comesaña · Villarreal · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Villarreal · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 13′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Guedes · Real Sociedad · 76′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAnder Barrenetxea · Real Sociedad · 87′ · 0.06 xG · goalAritz Elustondo · Real Sociedad · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedUmar Sadiq · Real Sociedad · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAritz Elustondo · Real Sociedad · 45′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAlberto Moleiro · Villarreal · 45′ · 0.08 xG · on targetCarlos Soler · Real Sociedad · 60′ · 0.08 xG · goalAlberto Moleiro · Villarreal · 57′ · 0.10 xG · goalJon Martin · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTani Oluwaseyi · Villarreal · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetAlberto Moleiro · Villarreal · 63′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMikel Goti · Real Sociedad · 89′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedAyoze Pérez · Villarreal · 31′ · 0.93 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Sociedad: 18 shots, 7 on target, 1.01 xG. Villarreal: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Carlos Soler · Real Sociedad · 60′Ander Barrenetxea · Real Sociedad · 87′Ayoze Pérez · Villarreal · 31′Alberto Moleiro · Villarreal · 57′Alberto Moleiro · Villarreal · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Sociedad 1.01 xG · Villarreal 1.56 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Real Sociedad
1Draws
2Villarreal
Villarreal — Real Sociedad · La Liga2–2
Real Sociedad — Villarreal · La Liga1–0
Real Sociedad — Villarreal · La Liga1–3
Villarreal — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–3
Villarreal — Real Sociedad · La Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Sociedad favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Villarreal in 7 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Sociedad14 matchesVillarreal14 matches
1.36 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 2.07 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 0.93 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.78 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots14/1413.5 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target14/145.07 shots/match
51.4% ●Possession14/1445.8%
6.36 corners/match ●Corners14/144.43 corners/match
2.36 cards/matchCards14/142.64 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal SociedadVillarreal
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headReal Sociedad — Villarreal
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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