Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeBorussia-ParkFull-time recap

Borussia Mönchengladbach

LDLLW

3–1Full-time recap

1. FC Köln

LWDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Borussia Mönchengladbach	1. FC Köln
Shots	9 shots/match	19 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Possession	36%	64%
Corners	2 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	13 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match▲	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Borussia Mönchengladbach's last-five shots average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Borussia Mönchengladbach's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia Mönchengladbach's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.4 shots/match	11.7 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Borussia Mönchengladbach favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · 1. FC Köln in 5 · 6 too close

1.3 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/10▲1.7 goals/match

1.9 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/10▲1.5 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

11.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/10▲13.8 shots/match

15.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1015 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 10/104.6 shots/match

5.6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/10▲4.9 shots/match

45.5%Possessionseason · 10/1046.5%

4.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/104.4 corners/match

5.4 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 10/107.2 corners/match

1.9 cards/matchCardsseason · 10/101.9 cards/match

11.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/109.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

30%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1020%

50%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/10▲90%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Borussia Mönchengladbach13.9

1. FC Köln25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Borussia Mönchengladbach43.5

1. FC Köln63.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Borussia Mönchengladbach16.7

1. FC Köln49.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Borussia Mönchengladbach52.8

1. FC Köln86.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Borussia Mönchengladbach51.4

1. FC Köln29.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Borussia Mönchengladbach47.2

1. FC Köln30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Borussia Mönchengladbach50.7

1. FC Köln43

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

8.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.2 shots/match

4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match

42.6%Possession5/547.4%

2.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

1.8 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFouls5/59 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match

1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.5 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.8 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.6 shots/match

45.5%Possession10/1046.5%

4.8 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match

1.9 cards/matchCards10/101.9 cards/match

11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/109.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match

1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.5 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.8 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.6 shots/match

45.5%Possession10/1046.5%

4.8 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match

1.9 cards/matchCards10/101.9 cards/match

11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/109.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 6 matches

1.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/61.17 goals/match

2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1.67 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

11 shots/matchShots6/6▲12.2 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target6/63.5 shots/match

43.5%Possession6/646.5%

4.5 corners/matchCorners6/64.33 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards6/62 cards/match

11.3 fouls/matchFouls6/69.17 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.12 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples10 / 10home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Nov 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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