PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025MHPArena

VfB Stuttgart 1–0 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfB Stuttgart won 1–0.

Shots
185
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
0.990.38
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfB Stuttgart beat 1. FC Heidenheim 1–0. Recorded in this match (VfB Stuttgart – 1. FC Heidenheim): shots 18–5, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 0.99–0.38, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Heidenheim show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsVfB Stuttgart · 1. FC Heidenheim9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVfB Stuttgart1. FC HeidenheimBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match9 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match16.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

VfB Stuttgart have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.2% ●PossessionVfB Stuttgart · 1. FC Heidenheim40.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVfB Stuttgart1. FC HeidenheimBaseline
Possession59.2%40.5%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots5 shotsVfB Stuttgart 18 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 5 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotVfB Stuttgart 6 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.99 xG0.38 xGVfB Stuttgart 0.99 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 0.38 xG
  • Possession64%36%VfB Stuttgart 64%, 1. FC Heidenheim 36%
  • Corners1 corner1 cornerVfB Stuttgart 1 corner, 1. FC Heidenheim 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsVfB Stuttgart 11 fouls, 1. FC Heidenheim 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardVfB Stuttgart 1 card, 1. FC Heidenheim 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jeff Chabot · VfB Stuttgart · 30′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLuca Jaquez · VfB Stuttgart · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJeff Chabot · VfB Stuttgart · 61′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMaximilian Mittelstädt · VfB Stuttgart · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 77′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLorenz Assignon · VfB Stuttgart · 43′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBilal El Khannouss · VfB Stuttgart · 65′ · 0.03 xG · goalTiago Tomás · VfB Stuttgart · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBilal El Khannouss · VfB Stuttgart · 72′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMikkel Kaufmann · 1. FC Heidenheim · 20′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMaximilian Mittelstädt · VfB Stuttgart · 65′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBadredine Bouanani · VfB Stuttgart · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTiago Tomás · VfB Stuttgart · 63′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBadredine Bouanani · VfB Stuttgart · 38′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 85′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 85′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 23′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedBadredine Bouanani · VfB Stuttgart · 6′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedStefan Schimmer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 84′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedMikkel Kaufmann · 1. FC Heidenheim · 45′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfB Stuttgart: 18 shots, 6 on target, 0.97 xG. 1. FC Heidenheim: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Bilal El Khannouss · VfB Stuttgart · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfB Stuttgart 0.97 xG · 1. FC Heidenheim 0.55 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1VfB Stuttgart
1Draws
21. FC Heidenheim
VfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga0–1
1. FC Heidenheim — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1–3
VfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga3–3
1. FC Heidenheim — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfB Stuttgart favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfB Stuttgart6 matches1. FC Heidenheim6 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.67 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.83 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.12 xG/match
15.2 shots/match ▲Shots6/69 shots/match
5.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/63.33 shots/match
59.2% ●Possession6/640.5%
5.83 corners/match ●Corners6/64.33 corners/match
1.67 cards/matchCards6/62.17 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls6/611.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfB Stuttgart1. FC Heidenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headVfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Heidenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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