Bundesliga · 2025Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 17:30 UTCFull timeBorussia-ParkFull-time recap

Borussia Mönchengladbach

DLLDL

0–0Full-time recap

SC Freiburg

LLWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Borussia Mönchengladbach	SC Freiburg
Shots	9 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Possession	53%	47%
Corners	4 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	7 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Borussia Mönchengladbach's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Borussia Mönchengladbach's recent record differs from the season

weak

Borussia Mönchengladbach's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	0.83 goals/match	1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Borussia Mönchengladbach favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · SC Freiburg in 6 · 6 too close

0.83 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/6▲1.5 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/6▲1.5 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

14 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 6/611.7 shots/match

13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 6/612.5 shots/match

5.5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 6/63.17 shots/match

5.17 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 6/6▲4.5 shots/match

49.2%Possessionseason · 6/649.2%

6.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 6/64 corners/match

4.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 6/6▲3.83 corners/match

2.17 cards/matchCardsseason · 6/6▲1.83 cards/match

13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 6/69 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/633%

33%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/6▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Borussia Mönchengladbach47.2

SC Freiburg47.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Borussia Mönchengladbach57.4

SC Freiburg26.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Borussia Mönchengladbach41.7

SC Freiburg63

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Borussia Mönchengladbach69.4

SC Freiburg19.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Borussia Mönchengladbach65.2

SC Freiburg13.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Borussia Mönchengladbach88.9

SC Freiburg13.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Borussia Mönchengladbach80.6

SC Freiburg10.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match

2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

13.4 shots/match▲Shots5/510.8 shots/match

5.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match

46.8%Possession5/547%

6.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

2.2 cards/matchCards5/51.4 cards/match

13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/58 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches

0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.5 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1.5 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14 shots/match▲Shots6/611.7 shots/match

5.5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/63.17 shots/match

49.2%Possession6/649.2%

6.33 corners/matchCorners6/64 corners/match

2.17 cards/matchCards6/61.83 cards/match

13.2 fouls/matchFouls6/69 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches

0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲1.5 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲1.5 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14 shots/match▲Shots6/611.7 shots/match

5.5 shots/match▲Shots on target6/63.17 shots/match

49.2%Possession6/649.2%

6.33 corners/matchCorners6/64 corners/match

2.17 cards/matchCards6/61.83 cards/match

13.2 fouls/matchFouls6/69 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 3 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored4/3▲1.33 goals/match

2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/3▲1.33 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

14 shots/match▲Shots4/311.3 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target4/32.67 shots/match

52%Possession4/348.7%

6 corners/matchCorners4/32 corners/match

1.75 cards/matchCards4/31.33 cards/match

12.8 fouls/matchFouls4/37.67 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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