PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Fri, 27 Feb 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeStade de la MeinauFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

Lens

LWWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricStrasbourgLens
Shots8 shots/match25 shots/match▲
Shots on target5 shots/match5 shots/match
Possession55%45%
Corners2 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Mamadou Sangare · Lens · 48′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatthieu Udol · Lens · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdoul Ouattara · Strasbourg · 72′ · 0.01 xG · on targetIsmael Doukouré · Strasbourg · 31′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatthieu Udol · Lens · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 59′ · 0.02 xG · on targetWesley Saïd · Lens · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Sangare · Lens · 62′ · 0.03 xG · goalAmadou Haidara · Lens · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMamadou Sangare · Lens · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · Lens · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · Lens · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 58′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAbdoul Ouattara · Strasbourg · 82′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMatthieu Udol · Lens · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbdallah Sima · Lens · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 34′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatthieu Udol · Lens · 49′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · Lens · 38′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIsmaelo Ganiou · Lens · 60′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · Lens · 41′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 36′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMartial Godo · Strasbourg · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 18′ · 0.14 xG · goalOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 23′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 41′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Lens · 62′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Lens · 44′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 11′ · 0.33 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Strasbourg: 8 shots, 5 on target, 0.76 xG. Lens: 25 shots, 5 on target, 1.68 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Joaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 18′Mamadou Sangare · Lens · 62′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Strasbourg 0.76 xG · Lens 1.68 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Lens's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Lens's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lens's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.88 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Strasbourg
0Draws
1Lens
Lens — Strasbourg · Ligue 11–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Strasbourg favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Lens in 7 · 7 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 24/24▲1.88 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 24/24▲0.88 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 24/24▲14.5 shots/match
11.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 24/2411.5 shots/match
4.46 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 24/24▲5.13 shots/match
4.08 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 24/24▲3.58 shots/match
51.8%Possessionseason · 24/2449%
3.79 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/245.63 corners/match
4.29 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 24/24▲4 corners/match
2.17 cards/matchCardsseason · 24/242.21 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2413.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/24▲38%
88%Scoring frequencyseason · 24/2483%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Strasbourg63.9
Lens52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Strasbourg58.3
Lens86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Strasbourg62
Lens76.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Strasbourg13.9
Lens91.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Strasbourg38.9
Lens66.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Strasbourg25
Lens80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Strasbourg37.5
Lens83.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.4 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲16.8 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match
48.4%Possession5/548.8%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.1 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.9 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShots10/10▲16.1 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.1 shots/match
53.3%Possession10/1051.8%
4.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.3 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/101.9 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

24 / 24 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲1.88 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲0.88 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.1 shots/matchShots24/24▲14.5 shots/match
4.46 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲5.13 shots/match
51.8%Possession24/2449%
3.79 corners/matchCorners24/245.63 corners/match
2.17 cards/matchCards24/242.21 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls24/2413.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 12 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored12/121.83 goals/match
0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.08 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/matchShots12/12▲14.1 shots/match
5.42 shots/match▲Shots on target12/124.83 shots/match
51.3%Possession12/1248.1%
4.5 corners/matchCorners12/125.08 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards12/122.42 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls12/1213.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.16 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 27 Feb 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsStrasbourgLens
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match