PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade de la Meinau

RC Strasbourg 3–1 Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 1

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Strasbourg won 3–1.

Shots
134
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
2.150.34
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Strasbourg beat Lyon 3–1. Recorded in this match (Strasbourg – Lyon): shots 13–4, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 2.15–0.34, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lyon's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lyon's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots4 shotsRC Strasbourg 13 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 4 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsRC Strasbourg 7 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.15 xG0.34 xGRC Strasbourg 2.15 xG, Olympique Lyonnais 0.34 xG
  • Possession50%50%RC Strasbourg 50%, Olympique Lyonnais 50%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersRC Strasbourg 4 corners, Olympique Lyonnais 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsRC Strasbourg 11 fouls, Olympique Lyonnais 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsRC Strasbourg 1 card, Olympique Lyonnais 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Guéla Doué · Strasbourg · 11′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDiego Moreira · Strasbourg · 52′ · 0.02 xG · goalEndrick · Lyon · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEndrick · Lyon · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBen Chilwell · Strasbourg · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDiego Moreira · Strasbourg · 51′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 6′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 34′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMartial Godo · Strasbourg · 6′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 24′ · 0.09 xG · on targetGuéla Doué · Strasbourg · 73′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedCorentin Tolisso · Lyon · 59′ · 0.14 xG · goalTanner Tessmann · Lyon · 18′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMartial Godo · Strasbourg · 32′ · 0.23 xG · on targetMartial Godo · Strasbourg · 37′ · 0.53 xG · goalJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 83′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Strasbourg: 13 shots, 7 on target, 2.15 xG. Lyon: 4 shots, 2 on target, 0.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Martial Godo · Strasbourg · 37′Diego Moreira · Strasbourg · 52′Joaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 83′Corentin Tolisso · Lyon · 59′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Strasbourg 2.15 xG · Lyon 0.35 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2RC Strasbourg
0Draws
3Olympique Lyonnais
Olympique Lyonnais — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–1
RC Strasbourg — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 14–2
Olympique Lyonnais — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 14–3
Olympique Lyonnais — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–1
RC Strasbourg — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Strasbourg favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique Lyonnais in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Strasbourg23 matchesOlympique Lyonnais23 matches
1.7 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.61 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1 goal/match
1.63 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/231.51 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 11.8 shots/match
4.43 shots/matchShots on target23/234.61 shots/match
51.7%Possession23/23● 54.8%
3.87 corners/matchCorners23/23● 5.65 corners/match
2.17 cards/matchCards23/232.22 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls23/2314 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC StrasbourgOlympique Lyonnais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headRC Strasbourg — Olympique Lyonnais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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