PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade de la Meinau

RC Strasbourg 1–2 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 1–2.

Shots
913
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
2.271.13
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint Germain beat Strasbourg 2–1. Recorded in this match (Strasbourg – Paris Saint Germain): shots 9–13, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 2.27–1.13, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsStrasbourg · Paris Saint Germain17.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStrasbourgParis Saint GermainBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match17.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match8.45 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.7%PossessionStrasbourg · Paris Saint Germain● 69.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricStrasbourgParis Saint GermainBaseline
Possession51.7%69.2%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots13 shotsRC Strasbourg 9 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsRC Strasbourg 4 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.27 xG1.13 xGRC Strasbourg 2.27 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 1.13 xG
  • Possession32%68%RC Strasbourg 32%, Paris Saint-Germain 68%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersRC Strasbourg 5 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 6 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls6 foulsRC Strasbourg 8 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsRC Strasbourg 1 card, Paris Saint-Germain 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Achraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint Germain · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 41′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 64′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMartial Godo · Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDiego Moreira · Strasbourg · 14′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 16′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 43′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJoão Neves · Paris Saint Germain · 5′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAbdoul Ouattara · Strasbourg · 52′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedWillian Pacho · Paris Saint Germain · 16′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAbdoul Ouattara · Strasbourg · 17′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGuéla Doué · Strasbourg · 84′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 22′ · 0.17 xG · goalAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 57′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 81′ · 0.25 xG · goalGuéla Doué · Strasbourg · 27′ · 0.43 xG · goalMartial Godo · Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.54 xG · off target or blockedJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 20′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Strasbourg: 9 shots, 4 on target, 2.29 xG. Paris Saint Germain: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Guéla Doué · Strasbourg · 27′Senny Mayulu · Paris Saint Germain · 22′Nuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Strasbourg 2.29 xG · Paris Saint Germain 1.13 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1RC Strasbourg
1Draws
3Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 13–3
RC Strasbourg — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 12–1
Paris Saint-Germain — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 14–2
RC Strasbourg — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–2
Paris Saint-Germain — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 13–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Strasbourg favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Strasbourg20 matchesParis Saint-Germain20 matches
1.65 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 2.15 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 0.8 goals/match
1.65 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.78 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 17.3 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 6.75 shots/match
51.7%Possession20/20● 69.2%
3.85 corners/matchCorners20/20● 6.2 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards20/201.1 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls20/2010.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Feb 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC StrasbourgParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headRC Strasbourg — Paris Saint-Germain
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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