PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Allianz Riviera

Nice 2–2 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

Nice

LLDLW
2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nice and Stade Brestois drew 2–2.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.351.69
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nice and Stade Brestois 29 drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Nice – Stade Brestois 29): shots 15–12, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.35–1.69, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Brestois 29 have a visible away split

moderate

Stade Brestois 29's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Nice's recent record differs from the season

weak

Nice's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.35 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade Brestois 29 show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Stade Brestois 29's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsNice · Stade Brestois 2911.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNiceStade Brestois 29Baseline
Shots11.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against15.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsNice 15 shots, Stade Brestois 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsNice 7 shots, Stade Brestois 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.35 xG1.69 xGNice 1.35 xG, Stade Brestois 1.69 xG
  • Possession60%40%Nice 60%, Stade Brestois 40%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersNice 6 corners, Stade Brestois 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls21 foulsNice 15 fouls, Stade Brestois 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards3 cardsNice 5 cards, Stade Brestois 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kaïl Boudache · Nice · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoris Chotard · Stade Brestois 29 · 64′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRemy Labeau Lascary · Stade Brestois 29 · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKevin Carlos Omoruyi · Nice · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMohamed-Ali Cho · Nice · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDante · Nice · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoris Chotard · Stade Brestois 29 · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSofiane Diop · Nice · 26′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMorgan Sanson · Nice · 40′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDaouda Guindo · Stade Brestois 29 · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSofiane Diop · Nice · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJoris Chotard · Stade Brestois 29 · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKaïl Boudache · Nice · 78′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSoumaila Coulibaly · Stade Brestois 29 · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSoumaila Coulibaly · Stade Brestois 29 · 54′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAli Abdi · Nice · 63′ · 0.06 xG · goalKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 80′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCharles Vanhoutte · Nice · 40′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJoris Chotard · Stade Brestois 29 · 79′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTom Louchet · Nice · 87′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRemy Labeau Lascary · Stade Brestois 29 · 48′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAli Abdi · Nice · 60′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKojo Peprah Oppong · Nice · 38′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAli Abdi · Nice · 87′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 23′ · 0.42 xG · goalElye Wahi · Nice · 71′ · 0.45 xG · goalRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 15′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nice: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.39 xG. Stade Brestois 29: 12 shots, 2 on target, 1.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ali Abdi · Nice · 63′Elye Wahi · Nice · 71′Romain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois 29 · 15′Kamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois 29 · 23′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nice 1.39 xG · Stade Brestois 29 1.70 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Nice
2Draws
1Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois — Nice · Ligue 14–1
Nice — Stade Brestois · Ligue 16–0
Stade Brestois — Nice · Ligue 10–1
Stade Brestois — Nice · Ligue 10–0
Nice — Stade Brestois · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nice favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nice20 matchesStade Brestois20 matches
1.35 goals/matchGoals scored20/201.3 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 1.65 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.47 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots20/2011.8 shots/match
4.3 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/203.9 shots/match
48.5% ●Possession20/2043.8%
4.95 corners/match ●Corners20/204.25 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards20/201.95 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls20/2013.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Feb 2026, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNiceStade Brestois
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headNice — Stade Brestois
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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